ArticleCommunications biology2021
Climate change may induce connectivity loss and mountaintop extinction in Central American forests.
Article in Communications biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Spatio-temporal variability in forest biodiversity associated with human well-being across socio-economic deprivation gradients.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
- Distribution Range and Richness of Plant Species Are Predicted to Increase by 2100 due to a Warmer and Wetter Climate in Northern China.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Habitat Suitability ofEcology and evolution · 2025Article
- Potential impacts of climate change on the geographic distribution ofEcology and evolution · 2024Article
- Climate change increases threat to plant diversity in tropical forests of Central America and southern Mexico.PloS one · 2024Article
- Effects of clonal fragmentation onFrontiers in plant science · 2024Article
- Climate change may induce connectivity loss and mountaintop extinction in Central American forests.Communications biology · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
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Abstract
The tropical forests of Central America serve a pivotal role as biodiversity hotspots and provide ecosystem services securing human livelihood. However, climate change is expected to affect the species composition of forest ecosystems, lead to forest type transitions and trigger irrecoverable losses of habitat and biodiversity. Here, we investigate potential impacts of climate change on the environmental suitability of main plant functional types (PFTs) across Central America. Using a large database of occurrence records and physiological data, we classify tree species into trait-based groups and project their suitability under three representative concentration pathways (RCPs 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5) with an ensemble of state-of-the-art correlative modelling methods. Our results forecast transitions from wet towards generalist or dry forest PFTs for large parts of the study region. Moreover, suitable area for wet-adapted PFTs is projected to latitudinally diverge and lose connectivity, while expected upslope shifts of montane species point to high risks of mountaintop extinction. These findings underline the urgent need to safeguard the connectivity of habitats through biological corridors and extend protected areas in the identified transition hotspots.
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