Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34258586›Full record

ArticleSN computer science2021

Performance Evaluation of Soft Computing Approaches for Forecasting COVID-19 Pandemic Cases.

Muhammad Shoaib, Hamza Salahudin, Muhammad Hammad, Shakil Ahmad, Alamgir Akhtar Khan, Mudasser Muneer Khan, Muhammad Azhar Inam Baig, Fiaz Ahmad, Muhammad Kaleem Ullah

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in SN computer science, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Muhammad ShoaibAgricultural Engineering Department, Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan, Pakistan.ORCID 0000-0002-4628-4796
Hamza SalahudinAgricultural Engineering Department, Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan, Pakistan.
Muhammad HammadDepartment of Agricultural Engineering, Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan, Pakistan.
Shakil AhmadNUST Institute of Civil Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad, Pakistan.
Alamgir Akhtar KhanDepartment of Agricultural Engineering, MNS University of Agriculture, Multan, Pakistan.
Mudasser Muneer KhanDepartment of Civil Engineering, Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan, Pakistan.
Muhammad Azhar Inam BaigDepartment of Agricultural Engineering, Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan, Pakistan.
Fiaz AhmadDepartment of Agricultural Engineering, Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan, Pakistan.
Muhammad Kaleem UllahDepartment of Civil Engineering, The University of Lahore, Lahore, Pakistan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An unexpected outbreak of deadly Covid-19 in later part of 2019 not only endangered the economies of the world but also posed threats to the cultural, social and psychological barriers of mankind. As soon as the virus emerged, scientists and researchers from all over the world started investigating the dynamics of this disease. Despite extensive investments in research, no cure has been officially found to date. This uncertain situation rises severe threats to the survival of mankind. An ultimate need of the time is to investigate the course of disease transfer and suggest a future projection of the disease transfer to be enabled to effectively tackle the always evolving situations ahead. In the present study daily new cases of COVID-19 was predicted using different forecasting techniques; Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Exponential Smoothing/Error Trend Seasonality (ETS), Artificial Neural Network Models (ANN), Gene Expression Programming (GEP), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) in four countries; Pakistan, USA, India and Brazil. The dataset of new daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 from the date on which first case was registered in the respective country to 30 November 2020 is analyzed through these five forecasting models to forecast the new daily cases up to 31st January 2020. The forecasting efficiency of each model was evaluated using well known statistical parameters

Indexed as

Artificial neural network (ANN)Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA)COVID-19Exponential smoothing (ETS)Gene expression programming (GEP)Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)Time-series forecasting

Identifiers

PMID34258586
PMCPMC8267227

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.