ArticleScientific reports2021
Tipping point realized in cod fishery.
Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.
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Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed.
- Media's role in agenda-setting: Exploring media coverage of the German Baltic fishery discourse.Ambio · 2026Article
- Abrupt declines in fish productivity often precede stock collapses in marine fisheries.Science advances · 2026Article
- Human-induced intensification of sea surface temperature regime shifts threatens global Large Marine Ecosystems.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Food intake of early juvenile western Baltic cod (Gadus morhua) during settlement transition.Journal of fish biology · 2026Article
- Identifying and addressing the anthropogenic drivers of global change in the North Sea: a systematic map.Environmental evidence · 2025Article
- Ecological Characteristics and Nutritional Values of Australia-Native Brown Algae Species.Marine drugs · 2025Review
- Identifying fish populations prone to abrupt shifts via dynamical footprint analysis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Spatial Change of Dominant Baltic Sea Demersal Fish Across Two Decades.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Opportunities for Earth Observation to Inform Risk Management for Ocean Tipping Points.Surveys in geophysics · 2025Review
- Evolutionary shift of a tipping point can precipitate, or forestall, collapse in a microbial community.Nature ecology & evolution · 2024Article
- Robust fisheries management strategies under deep uncertainty.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- A climate vulnerability assessment of the fish community in the Western Baltic Sea.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Resilience assessment in complex natural systems.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Flexible foraging behaviour increases predator vulnerability to climate change.Nature climate change · 2024Article
- Tracing growth patterns in cod (Ecology and evolution · 2023Article
- Article
- Towards vibrant fish populations and sustainable fisheries that benefit all: learning from the last 30 years to inform the next 30 years.Reviews in fish biology and fisheries · 2023Article
- Addressing the dichotomy of fishing and climate in fishery management with the FishClim model.Communications biology · 2022Article
- Temporal and spatial changes in benthic invertebrate trophic networks along a taxonomic richness gradient.Ecology and evolution · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Understanding tipping point dynamics in harvested ecosystems is of crucial importance for sustainable resource management because ignoring their existence imperils social-ecological systems that depend on them. Fisheries collapses provide the best known examples for realizing tipping points with catastrophic ecological, economic and social consequences. However, present-day fisheries management systems still largely ignore the potential of their resources to exhibit such abrupt changes towards irreversible low productive states. Using a combination of statistical changepoint analysis and stochastic cusp modelling, here we show that Western Baltic cod is beyond such a tipping point caused by unsustainable exploitation levels that failed to account for changing environmental conditions. Furthermore, climate change stabilizes a novel and likely irreversible low productivity state of this fish stock that is not adapted to a fast warming environment. We hence argue that ignorance of non-linear resource dynamics has caused the demise of an economically and culturally important social-ecological system which calls for better adaptation of fisheries systems to climate change.
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Registered trials
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