Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34250596›Full record

ArticleEpilepsia2021

Prediction of seizure recurrence risk following discontinuation of antiepileptic drugs.

Margherita Contento, Bruno Bertaccini, Martina Biggi, Matteo Magliani, Ylenia Failli, Eleonora Rosati, Luca Massacesi, Marco Paganini

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epilepsia, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Margherita ContentoDepartment of Neurosciences, Drug and Child Health, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-8806-6685
Bruno BertacciniDepartment of Statistics Informatics and Application "G.Parenti", University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Martina BiggiDepartment of Neurosciences, Drug and Child Health, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Matteo MaglianiDepartment of Neurosciences, Drug and Child Health, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Ylenia FailliDepartment of Neurosciences, Drug and Child Health, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Eleonora RosatiDepartment Neurology 2, Careggi University Hospital, Florence, Italy.
Luca MassacesiDepartment of Neurosciences, Drug and Child Health, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5083-372X
Marco PaganiniDepartment Neurology 2, Careggi University Hospital, Florence, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-9603-2378

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveDiscontinuation of antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) in seizure-free patients is an important goal because of possible long-term side effects and the social stigma burden of epilepsy. The purpose of this work was to assess seizure recurrence risk after suspension of AEDs, to evaluate predictors for recurrence, and to investigate the recovery of seizure control after relapse. In addition, the accuracy of a previously published prediction model of seizure recurrence risk was estimated.

methodsSeizure-free patients with epilepsy who had discontinued AEDs were retrospectively enrolled. The frequency of seizure relapses after AED withdrawal as well as prognosis after recurrence were assessed and the predictive role of baseline clinical-demographic variables was evaluated. The aforementioned prediction model was also validated and its accuracy assessed at different seizure-relapse probability levels.

resultsThe enrolled patients (n = 133) had been followed for a median of 3 years (range 0.8-33 years) after AED discontinuation; 60 (45%) of them relapsed. Previous febrile seizures in childhood (hazard ratio [HR] 3.927; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.403-10.988), a seizure-free period on therapy of less than 2 years (HR 2.313; 95% CI 1.193-4.486), and persistent motor deficits (HR 4.568; 95% CI 1.412-14.772) were the clinical features associated with relapse risk in univariate analysis. Among these variables, only a seizure-free period on therapy of less than 2 years was associated with seizure recurrence in multivariate analysis (HR 2.365; 95% CI 1.178-4.7444). Pharmacological control of epilepsy was restored in 82.4% of the patients who relapsed. In this population, the aforementioned prediction model showed an unsatisfactory accuracy. SIGNIFICANCE: A period of freedom from seizure on therapy of less than 2 years was the main predictor of seizure recurrence. The accuracy of the previously described prediction tool was low in this cohort, thus suggesting its cautious use in real-world clinical practice.

Indexed as

EpilepsySeizuresAnticonvulsantsHumansRecurrenceRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsAnticonvulsantsAED withdrawalanti-seizure medicationsepilepsy

Identifiers

PMID34250596
PMCPMC8457060

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.