Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34249603›Full record

ArticleJournal of big data2021

The forecast of COVID-19 spread risk at the county level.

Murtadha D Hssayeni, Arjuna Chala, Roger Dev, Lili Xu, Jesse Shaw, Borko Furht, Behnaz Ghoraani

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of big data, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Suburban Road Networks to Explore COVID-19 Vulnerability and Severity.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Murtadha D HssayeniDepartment of Computer and Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Florida Atlantic University, Boca Raton, FL 33431 USA.
Arjuna ChalaLexisNexis Risk Solution, Alpharetta, GA USA.
Roger DevLexisNexis Risk Solution, Alpharetta, GA USA.
Lili XuLexisNexis Risk Solution, Alpharetta, GA USA.
Jesse ShawLexisNexis Risk Solution, Alpharetta, GA USA.
Borko FurhtDepartment of Computer and Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Florida Atlantic University, Boca Raton, FL 33431 USA.
Behnaz GhoraaniDepartment of Computer and Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Florida Atlantic University, Boca Raton, FL 33431 USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0075-7663

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The early detection of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak is important to save people's lives and restart the economy quickly and safely. People's social behavior, reflected in their mobility data, plays a major role in spreading the disease. Therefore, we used the daily mobility data aggregated at the county level beside COVID-19 statistics and demographic information for short-term forecasting of COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States. The daily data are fed to a deep learning model based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to predict the accumulated number of COVID-19 cases in the next two weeks. A significant average correlation was achieved ( SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40537-021-00491-1.

Indexed as

County demographicsCOVID-19 ForecastDeep learningMobility

Identifiers

PMID34249603
PMCPMC8261401

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.