Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34248212›Full record

ArticleSocio-economic planning sciences2022

One year of COVID-19 in Italy: are containment policies enough to shape the pandemic pattern?

Demetrio Panarello, Giorgio Tassinari

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Socio-economic planning sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  9. Article
  10. [Association of public health and social measures with the effectiveness of COVID-19 epidemic control].Zhong nan da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Central South University. Medical sciences
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Demetrio PanarelloUniversity of Bologna, Department of Statistical Sciences "Paolo Fortunati", Via delle Belle Arti 41, 40126, Bologna, Italy.
Giorgio TassinariUniversity of Bologna, Department of Statistical Sciences "Paolo Fortunati", Via delle Belle Arti 41, 40126, Bologna, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A successful fight against COVID-19 greatly depends on citizens' adherence to the restrictive measures, which may not suffice alone. Making use of a containment index, data on sanctions, and Google's movement trends across Italian provinces, complemented by other sources, we investigate the extent to which compliance with the mobility limitations has affected the number of infections and deaths over time, for the period running from February 24, 2020 to February 23, 2021. We find proof of a deterrent effect on mobility given by the increase in sanction rate and positivity rate among the population. We also show how the pandemic dynamics have changed between the first and the second wave of the emergency. Lots of people could be spared by incorporating greater interventions and many more are at stake, despite the recent boost in vaccinations. Informing citizens about the effects and purposes of the restrictive measures has become increasingly important throughout the various phases of the pandemic.

Indexed as

COVID-19 lockdown stringencyFirst and second waveGoogle community mobility reportsItalian provinces and regionsReopening of schoolsSocial distancing compliance

Identifiers

PMID34248212
PMCPMC8253667

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.