Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34247242›Full record

ArticleRheumatology (Oxford, England)2022

Long-term weight changes and risk of rheumatoid arthritis among women in a prospective cohort: a marginal structural model approach.

Nathalie E Marchand, Jeffrey A Sparks, Susan Malspeis, Kazuki Yoshida, Lauren Prisco, Xuehong Zhang, Karen Costenbader, Frank Hu, Elizabeth W Karlson, Bing Lu

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Rheumatology (Oxford, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

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  7. [Procedures of complementary medicine in rheumatology].Zeitschrift fur Rheumatologie · 2024
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Nathalie E MarchandDivision of Rheumatology, Inflammation, and Immunity, Brigham & Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School.ORCID 0000-0001-8281-681X
Jeffrey A SparksDivision of Rheumatology, Inflammation, and Immunity, Brigham & Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School.ORCID 0000-0002-5556-4618
Susan MalspeisDivision of Rheumatology, Inflammation, and Immunity, Brigham & Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School.
Kazuki YoshidaDivision of Rheumatology, Inflammation, and Immunity, Brigham & Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School.
Lauren PriscoDivision of Rheumatology, Inflammation, and Immunity, Brigham & Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School.
Xuehong ZhangChanning Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham & Women's Hospital.
Karen CostenbaderDivision of Rheumatology, Inflammation, and Immunity, Brigham & Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School.
Frank HuChanning Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham & Women's Hospital.
Elizabeth W KarlsonDivision of Rheumatology, Inflammation, and Immunity, Brigham & Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School.
Bing LuDivision of Rheumatology, Inflammation, and Immunity, Brigham & Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School.
Brigham and Women's Hospital · US

Funding

Life Course Cancer Epidemiology Cohort in WomenU01CA176726 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, WILLETT, WALTER C. · 2018 to 2025
$22.4M
Long Term Multidisciplinary Study of Cancer in Women: The Nurses Health StudyUM1CA186107 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, STAMPFER, MEIR · 2014 to 2023
$22.3M
Trial of risk mangement for prevention of accelerated atherosclerosis in SLEP60AR047782 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI KATZ, JEFFREY NEIL · 2001 to 2016
$18.8M
Integrating lifecourse approaches, biologic and digital phenotypes in support of heart and lung disease epidemiologic researchU01HL145386 · NHLBI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI CHAVARRO, JORGE EDUARDO, MANSON, JOANN ELISABETH · 2019 to 2025
$17.8M
Novel Biomarkers and Prediction Models for Rheumatoid ArthritisR01AR049880 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI COSTENBADER, KAREN H, KARLSON, ELIZABETH W · 2003 to 2018
$8.7M
Metabolites of Dietary Intake and Risk of Knee OsteoarthritisR01AR074447 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT SCH OF MED/DNT · PI LU, BING · 2019 to 2022
$2.6M
Dietary Quality, Body Adiposity, and Risk of Rheumatoid Arthritis in WomenR01AR071326 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI LU, BING, SOLOMON, DANIEL HAL · 2018 to 2021
$1.8M
Novel Biomarkers and Causal Pathways in RA SusceptbilityR01AR059073 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI COSTENBADER, KAREN H · 2010 to 2013
$1.5M
Dietary Patterns / Dietary Quality and Risk of RA in WomenR01AR061362 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI LU, BING · 2012 to 2014
$1.2M
Rheumatoid Arthritis and Respiratory Outcomes in Prospective CohortsK23AR069688 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI SPARKS, JEFFREY ANDREW · 2016 to 2020
$766k
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA176726NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA186107NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL145386NIAMS NIH HHS K23 AR069688NIAMS NIH HHS P60 AR047782NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR049880NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR059073NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR061362NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR071326NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR074447
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo examine the association of long-term weight change with RA risk in a large prospective cohort study.

methodsThe Nurses' Health Study II started in 1989 (baseline); after exclusions, we studied 108 505 women 25-42 years old without RA. Incident RA was reported by participants and confirmed by medical record review. Body weight was reported biennially through 2015. We investigated two time-varying exposures: weight changes from baseline and from age 18; change was divided into five categories. We used a marginal structural model approach to account for time-varying weight change and covariates.

resultsOver 2 583 266 person-years, with a median follow-up time of 25.3 years, 541 women developed RA. Compared with women with stable weight from baseline, weight change was significantly associated with increased RA risk [weight gain 2-<10 kg: RR = 1.98 (95% CI 1.38, 2.85); 10-<20 kg: RR = 3.28 (95% CI 2.20, 4.89); ≥20 kg: RR = 3.81 (95% CI 2.39, 6.07); and weight loss >2 kg: RR = 2.05 (95% CI 1.28, 3.28)]. Weight gain of 10 kg or more from age 18 compared with stable weight was also associated with increased RA risk [10-< 20 kg: RR = 2.12 (95% CI 1.37, 3.27), ≥20 kg: RR = 2.31 (95% CI 1.50, 3.56)]. Consistent findings were observed for seropositive and seronegative RA.

conclusionLong-term weight gain was strongly associated with increased RA risk in women, with weight gain of ≥20 kg associated with more than a three-fold increased RA risk. Maintenance of healthy weight may be a strategy to prevent or delay RA.

Indexed as

Arthritis, RheumatoidAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansIncidenceModels, StructuralProspective StudiesRisk FactorsWeight Gainadipose obesityepidemiologyrheumatoid arthritisstatisticsstudy design

Identifiers

PMID34247242
PMCPMC8996781
OpenAlexW3180497610

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.