Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34245999›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol dependence2021

Cohort and age trends in age 35-45 prevalence of alcohol use disorder symptomology, by severity, sex, race, and education.

Justin Jager, Katherine M Keyes, Daye Son, Deb Kloska, Megan E Patrick, John E Schulenberg

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

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  7. Longitudinal analysis of the ABCD® study.Developmental cognitive neuroscience · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Justin JagerT. Denny Sanford School of Social and Family Dynamics, Arizona State University, PO Box 873701, Tempe, AZ 85287-3701, United States. Electronic address: justin.jager@asu.edu.
Katherine M KeyesDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States.
Daye SonT. Denny Sanford School of Social and Family Dynamics, Arizona State University, PO Box 873701, Tempe, AZ 85287-3701, United States.
Deb KloskaInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States.
Megan E PatrickInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States.
John E SchulenbergInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States; Department of Psychology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States.
University of Michigan · USArizona State University · USColumbia University · US

Funding

Monitoring the Future: Drug Use & Lifestyles of American Youth (Supp1: Nicotine Pouch and E-cigarette Use Among US Adolescents: National Estimates of Brand Use and Flavor Preferences)R01DA001411 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Richard A Miech · 1985 to 2026
$144.9M
Monitoring the Future: A Cohort-Sequential Panel Study of Drug Use, Ages 19-65 - Diversity Supplement (Solberg)R01DA016575 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Megan E. Patrick · 2003 to 2026
$44.6M
High-intensity drinking and related consequences: Daily data from a national sample aged 19 to 22R01AA023504 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI PATRICK, MEGAN E. · 2015 to 2022
$3.5M
Age, period, and cohort effects on gender differences in alcohol use and alcohol use disorders in 47 national, longitudinally-followed cohortsR01AA026861 · NIAAA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI JAGER, JUSTIN O, KEYES, KATHERINE M. · 2018 to 2022
$1.9M
Dynamic Links Between Risk Factors, Substance Use, and Consequences: Ages 18-35R01DA037902 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI PATRICK, MEGAN E. · 2015 to 2018
$1.5M
NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA023504NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA026861NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA001411NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA016575NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA037902
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsTo present national trends by age and cohort among middle-aged adults in the prevalence of AUD symptomology, by severity, sex, race, and education.

designNational, multi-cohort longitudinal probability samples of US adults, with data collected at ages 35, 40, and 45 among 14 cohorts who reached age 45 between 2003 and 2016.

settingData were collected via self-administered questionnaires to adults in the United States.

participantsThe sample consisted of 20,634 individuals. MEASUREMENTS: 5-year prevalence of symptoms consistent with a DSM-5 AUD.

findingsBetween ages 35-45 prevalence of any AUD symptoms decreased 19 %; decreases were most evident between ages 35-40. From 2003 to 2016, AUD symptoms were steady across cohort. However, because the pace of decrease across ages 35-45 slowed across cohort, cohort differences emerged at specific ages: age 35 prevalence decreased 18 % across cohort, but age 45 prevalence was equivalent across cohort. Age and cohort effects, and their interaction, did not vary by AUD severity level. Declines in AUD symptoms across age were 17 % slower for women, and declines in AUD symptoms across age and cohort were 11 % and 29 % slower, respectively, for those with a college degree. The protection afforded by a college degree was reversed among mild AUD and most pronounced for severe AUD.

conclusionsAUDs may be more plastic and responsive to intervention during early mid-life than later. Despite progress in reducing the burden of AUD in the US population among younger middle-aged adults, an increased focus remains necessary as they continue to age.

Indexed as

AlcoholismAdultCohort StudiesDiagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental DisordersEducational StatusFemaleHumansMiddle AgedPrevalenceUnited StatesAlcohol use disorderCohortMiddle-aged adultsSex

Identifiers

PMID34245999
PMCPMC8355144
OpenAlexW3176887658

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.