Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34244429›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Ecology of the Anthropocene signals hope for consciously managing the planetary ecosystem.

Clarence Lehman, Shelby Loberg, Michael Wilson, Eville Gorham

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 42% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Intergroup conflict: origins, dynamics and consequences across taxa.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Clarence LehmanCollege of Biological Sciences, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108; lehman@umn.edu.
Shelby LobergDivision of Science and Mathematics, University of Minnesota, Morris, MN 56267.
Michael WilsonDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108.ORCID 0000-0003-3073-4518
Eville GorhamDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108.ORCID 0000-0001-9230-2599
University of Minnesota · USUniversity of Minnesota Morris · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Human populations have grown to such an extent that our species has become a dominant force on the planet, prompting geologists to begin applying the term Anthropocene to recognize the present moment. Many approaches seek to explain the past and future of human population growth, in the form of narratives and models. Some of the most influential models have parameters that cannot be precisely known but are estimated by expert opinion. Here we apply a unified model of ecology to provide a macroscale summary of the net effects of many microscale processes, using a minimal set of parameters that can be known. Our models match estimates of historic and prehistoric global human population numbers and provide predictions that correspond to some of the more complicated current models. In addition to fitting the data well they reveal that, amidst enormous complexity in our human and prehuman past, three key ecological discontinuities have occurred in turn: 1) becoming dominant competitors of large predators rather than their prey, 2) becoming mutualists with food species rather than acting as predators upon them, and 3) changing from a regime of uncontrolled population growth to one of controlled fertility instead. All three processes have been interlinked with cultural evolution and all three ushered in developments of the Anthropocene. Understanding the trajectories that have delivered us to this stage can help guide prudent paths into the future.

Indexed as

Ecological and Environmental PhenomenaHuman ActivitiesPlanetsAnimalsCultureEducational StatusFertilityHumansPopulation DynamicsPredatory BehaviorProbabilityanthropologydemographic transitionlogistic and orthologistic growthpossibilist agendasustainability

Identifiers

PMID34244429
PMCPMC8285894
OpenAlexW3178169441

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.