Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34244268›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2021

Discrimination capability of pretest probability of stable coronary artery disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis suggesting how to improve validation procedures.

Pierpaolo Mincarone, Antonella Bodini, Maria Rosaria Tumolo, Federico Vozzi, Silvia Rocchiccioli, Gualtiero Pelosi, Chiara Caselli, Saverio Sabina, Carlo Giacomo Leo

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Machine learning models using symptoms and clinical variables to predict coronary artery disease on coronary angiography.Postepy w kardiologii interwencyjnej = Advances in interventional cardiology · 2024
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Observational
  7. Emerging biomarkers for the detection of cardiovascular diseases.The Egyptian heart journal : (EHJ) : official bulletin of the Egyptian Society of Cardiology · 2022
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Pierpaolo Mincarone *Institute for Research on Population and Social Policies, National Research Council, Brindisi, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-8452-5642
Antonella Bodini *Institute for Applied Mathematics and Information Technologies "Enrico Magenes", National Research Council, Milan, Italy.
Maria Rosaria TumoloInstitute for Research on Population and Social Policies, National Research Council, Brindisi, Italy.
Federico VozziInstitute of Clinical Physiology, National Research Council, Pisa, Italy.
Silvia RocchiccioliInstitute of Clinical Physiology, National Research Council, Pisa, Italy.
Gualtiero PelosiInstitute of Clinical Physiology, National Research Council, Pisa, Italy.
Chiara CaselliInstitute of Clinical Physiology, National Research Council, Pisa, Italy.
Saverio SabinaInstitute of Clinical Physiology, National Research Council, Lecce, Italy.
Carlo Giacomo LeoInstitute of Clinical Physiology, National Research Council, Lecce, Italy leo@ifc.cnr.it.ORCID 0000-0002-1357-4578

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveExternally validated pretest probability models for risk stratification of subjects with chest pain and suspected stable coronary artery disease (CAD), determined through invasive coronary angiography or coronary CT angiography, are analysed to characterise the best validation procedures in terms of discriminatory ability, predictive variables and method completeness.

designSystematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: Global Health (Ovid), Healthstar (Ovid) and MEDLINE (Ovid) searched on 22 April 2020. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We included studies validating pretest models for the first-line assessment of patients with chest pain and suspected stable CAD. Reasons for exclusion: acute coronary syndrome, unstable chest pain, a history of myocardial infarction or previous revascularisation; models referring to diagnostic procedures different from the usual practices of the first-line assessment; univariable models; lack of quantitative discrimination capability.

methodsEligibility screening and review were performed independently by all the authors. Disagreements were resolved by consensus among all the authors. The quality assessment of studies conforms to the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2). A random effects meta-analysis of area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values for each validated model was performed.

results27 studies were included for a total of 15 models. Besides age, sex and symptom typicality, other risk factors are smoking, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and dyslipidaemia. Only one model considers genetic profile. AUC values range from 0.51 to 0.81. Significant heterogeneity (p<0.003) was found in all but two cases (p>0.12). Values of I

conclusionsWe recommend a clearer statement of endpoints, their consistent measurement both in the derivation and validation phases, more comprehensive validation analyses and the enhancement of threshold validations to assess the effects of pretest models on clinical management. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42019139388.

Indexed as

Coronary Artery DiseaseChest PainComputed Tomography AngiographyCoronary AngiographyHumansPredictive Value of TestsRisk AssessmentRisk Factorscardiovascular imagingcomputed tomographycoronary heart diseasepublic health

Identifiers

PMID34244268
PMCPMC8268916

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.