Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34238346›Full record

ArticleArthritis research & therapy2021

Identification and prediction of difficult-to-treat rheumatoid arthritis patients in structured and unstructured routine care data: results from a hackathon.

Marianne A Messelink, Nadia M T Roodenrijs, Bram van Es, Cornelia A R Hulsbergen-Veelken, Sebastiaan Jong, L Malin Overmars, Leon C Reteig, Sander C Tan, Tjebbe Tauber, Jacob M van Laar and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis research & therapy, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Marianne A Messelink *Department of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, 3508 GA, Utrecht, The Netherlands. M.A.Messelink@umcutrecht.nl.ORCID 0000-0002-6291-3134
Nadia M T Roodenrijs *Department of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, 3508 GA, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Bram van EsCentral Diagnostic Laboratory, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, 3508 GA, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Cornelia A R Hulsbergen-VeelkenCentral Diagnostic Laboratory, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, 3508 GA, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Sebastiaan JongMedxAI, Theophile de Bockstraat 77-1, 1058VA, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
L Malin OvermarsCentral Diagnostic Laboratory, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, 3508 GA, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Leon C ReteigCentral Diagnostic Laboratory, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, 3508 GA, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Sander C TanMedxAI, Theophile de Bockstraat 77-1, 1058VA, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Tjebbe TauberMedxAI, Theophile de Bockstraat 77-1, 1058VA, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Jacob M van LaarDepartment of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, 3508 GA, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Paco M J Welsing *Department of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, 3508 GA, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Saskia Haitjema *Central Diagnostic Laboratory, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, 3508 GA, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe new concept of difficult-to-treat rheumatoid arthritis (D2T RA) refers to RA patients who remain symptomatic after several lines of treatment, resulting in a high patient and economic burden. During a hackathon, we aimed to identify and predict D2T RA patients in structured and unstructured routine care data.

methodsRoutine care data of 1873 RA patients were extracted from the Utrecht Patient Oriented Database. Data from a previous cross-sectional study, in which 152 RA patients were clinically classified as either D2T or non-D2T, served as a validation set. Machine learning techniques, text mining, and feature importance analyses were performed to identify and predict D2T RA patients based on structured and unstructured routine care data.

resultsWe identified 123 potentially new D2T RA patients by applying the D2T RA definition in structured and unstructured routine care data. Additionally, we developed a D2T RA identification model derived from a feature importance analysis of all available structured data (AUC-ROC 0.88 (95% CI 0.82-0.94)), and we demonstrated the potential of longitudinal hematological data to differentiate D2T from non-D2T RA patients using supervised dimension reduction. Lastly, using data up to the time of starting the first biological treatment, we predicted future development of D2TRA (AUC-ROC 0.73 (95% CI 0.71-0.75)).

conclusionsDuring this hackathon, we have demonstrated the potential of different techniques for the identification and prediction of D2T RA patients in structured as well as unstructured routine care data. The results are promising and should be optimized and validated in future research.

Indexed as

Arthritis, RheumatoidDatabases, FactualHumansMachine LearningApplied data analytics in medicineDifficult-to-treat rheumatoid arthritisMachine learningRoutine care data

Identifiers

PMID34238346
PMCPMC8265126

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.