Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34235644›Full record

ArticleDrugs & aging2021

Impact of Fall Risk and Direct Oral Anticoagulant Treatment on Quality-Adjusted Life-Years in Older Adults with Atrial Fibrillation: A Markov Decision Analysis.

Wenfei Wei, Rafia S Rasu, José J Hernández-Muñoz, Renee J Flores, Nahid J Rianon, Genesis A Hernández-Vizcarrondo, Adam T Brown

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Drugs & aging, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Wenfei WeiCollege of Pharmacy, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA. wenfeiwei@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0003-3518-0171
Rafia S RasuCollege of Pharmacy, School of Public Health, The University of North Texas Health Science Center, Fort Worth, TX, USA.
José J Hernández-MuñozCollege of Pharmacy, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2553-3159
Renee J FloresDivision of Geriatric and Palliative Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, McGovern Medical School, University of Texas Health Science Center Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
Nahid J RianonDivision of Geriatric and Palliative Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine and Department of Family & Community Medicine, McGovern Medical School, University of Texas Health Science Center Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
Genesis A Hernández-VizcarrondoTexas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA.
Adam T BrownCollege of Pharmacy, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA.
Texas A&M University · USThe University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston · USUniversity of North Texas · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectiveThe decision to initiate anticoagulation in older adults with atrial fibrillation is complicated by the benefit of ischemic stroke prevention vs the risk of falls resulting in major bleeds. The objective of this study was to assess the impact of different treatments including direct oral anticoagulants on quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) in patients aged 75 years and older with atrial fibrillation in the context of falls.

methodsA Markov decision process was constructed for older patients with atrial fibrillation taking no anti-thrombotic, aspirin, warfarin, rivaroxaban, and apixaban. Input probabilities for clinical events were estimated from the available literature. One-way and two-way sensitivity analyses were performed by measuring the impact of varying input probabilities of clinical events on QALY outcomes.

resultsThe base-case scenario estimated that older adults treated with no anti-thrombotic, aspirin, warfarin, rivaroxaban, and apixaban had QALYs of 8.03, 8.69, 10.38, 11.02, and 11.56, respectively. The sensitivity analysis estimated that an older adult would need to fall over 45 (rivaroxaban) and 458 (apixaban) times per year for the QALY of a direct oral anticoagulant to be lower than that of aspirin.

conclusionsOlder adults with atrial fibrillation benefit from stroke protection of anticoagulants, especially direct oral anticoagulants, even if they are at high risk of falls. Clinicians should not consider fall risk as a deciding factor for withholding anticoagulation in this population of patients.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationStrokeAgedAnticoagulantsCost-Benefit AnalysisDecision Support TechniquesHumansPyridonesQuality-Adjusted Life YearsRivaroxabanAnticoagulantsPyridonesRivaroxaban

Identifiers

PMID34235644
OpenAlexW3182445871

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.