Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34233612›Full record

ArticleBMC emergency medicine2021

Comparison of base excess, lactate and pH predicting 72-h mortality of multiple trauma.

Junfang Qi, Long Bao, Peng Yang, Du Chen

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC emergency medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 43 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Injury patterns, management and outcomes of hemodynamically unstable pelvic fractures at an Australian level 1 trauma centre: a 10-year registry analysis.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Serial Lactate in Clinical Medicine - A Narrative Review.Journal of intensive care medicine · 2026
    Review
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  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Observational
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Junfang Qi *Division of Emergency Medicine, the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Long Bao *Division of Emergency Medicine, the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Peng Yang *Division of Emergency Medicine, the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Du ChenDivision of Critical Care Medicine, the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China. sdfyycd@suda.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6990-3310
Soochow University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo compare the predictive values of base excess (BE), lactate and pH of admission arterial blood gas for 72-h mortality in patients with multiple trauma.

methodsThis was a secondary analysis based on a publicly shared trauma dataset from the Dryad database, which provided the clinical data of 3669 multiple trauma patients with ISS > = 16. The records of BE, lactate, pH and 72-h prognosis data without missing values were selected from this dataset and 2441 individuals were enrolled in the study. Logistic regression model was performed to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) of variables. Area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating curve (ROC) was utilized to evaluate the predictive value of predictors for 72 h in-hospital mortality. Pairwise comparison of AUCs was performed using the Delong's test.

resultsThe statistically significant correlations were observed between BE and lactate (r = - 0.5861, p < 0.05), lactate and pH (r = - 0.5039, p < 0.05), and BE and pH (r = - 0.7433, p < 0.05). The adjusted ORs of BE, lactate and pH for 72-h mortality with the adjustment for factors including gender, age, ISS category were 0.872 (95%CI: 0.854-0.890), 1.353 (95%CI: 1.296-1.413) and 0.007 (95%CI: 0.003-0.016), respectively. The AUCs of BE, lactate and pH were 0.693 (95%CI: 0.675-0.712), 0.715 (95%CI: 0.697-0.733), 0.670 (95%CI: 0.651-0.689), respectively.

conclusionsThere are significant correlations between BE, lactate and pH of the admission blood gas, all of them are independent predictors of 72-h mortality for multiple trauma. Lactate may have the best predictive value, followed by BE, and finally pH.

Indexed as

Hospital MortalityLactic AcidMultiple TraumaAdolescentAdultAgedChildFemaleHumansHydrogen-Ion ConcentrationMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesROC CurveYoung AdultLactic AcidBase excessBlood gas analysisLactateMortalityMultiple traumapHPredictive value

Identifiers

PMID34233612
PMCPMC8262006
OpenAlexW3181598382

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.