ArticleeLife2021
Future life expectancy in Europe taking into account the impact of smoking, obesity, and alcohol.
Article in eLife, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed, 35 citations in OpenAlex.
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- Cystatin-c / total cholesterol ratio as a predictor of probable sarcopenia in geriatric population from 12 European countries.Aging clinical and experimental research · 2025Article
- Striking Variations in Aortic Valve Replacement Rates and Use of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation among European Nations.Cardiology · 2024Article
- Review
- Epidemiology and surgical management of 184 obturator hernias: a nationwide registry-based cohort study.Hernia : the journal of hernias and abdominal wall surgery · 2023Article
- A multinational investigation of healthcare needs, preferences, and expectations in supportive cancer care: co-creating the LifeChamps digital platform.Journal of cancer survivorship : research and practice · 2023Article
- Age as a risk factor for surgical site infections: German surveillance data on total hip replacement and total knee replacement procedures 2009 to 2018.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023Article
- Two complementary approaches to estimate an excess of mortality: The case of Switzerland 2022.PloS one · 2023Article
- Environmental health, COVID-19, and the syndemic: internal medicine facing the challenge.Internal and emergency medicine · 2022Review
- Health Patterns among Migrant and Non-Migrant Middle- and Older-Aged Individuals in Europe-Analyses Based on Share 2004-2017.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- Future life expectancy in Europe taking into account the impact of smoking, obesity, and alcohol.eLife · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
Introduction: In Europe, women can expect to live on average 82 years and men 75 years. Forecasting how life expectancy will develop in the future is essential for society. Most forecasts rely on a mechanical extrapolation of past mortality trends, which leads to unreliable outcomes because of temporal fluctuations in the past trends due to lifestyle 'epidemics'. Methods: We project life expectancy for 18 European countries by taking into account the impact of smoking, obesity, and alcohol on mortality, and the mortality experiences of forerunner populations. Results: We project that life expectancy in these 18 countries will increase from, on average, 83.4 years for women and 78.3 years for men in 2014 to 92.8 years for women and 90.5 years for men in 2065. Compared to others (Lee-Carter, Eurostat, United Nations), we project higher future life expectancy values and more realistic differences between countries and sexes. Conclusions: Our results imply longer individual lifespans, and more elderly in society. Funding: Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO) (grant no. 452-13-001).
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.