ArticleJournal of general and family medicine2021
Modeling population-wide testing of SARS-CoV-2 for containing COVID-19 pandemic in Okinawa, Japan.
Article in Journal of general and family medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.
- Crises and complexity: how can we make health interventions succeed?Health policy and planning · 2025Article
- Assessing the mechanism of citywide test-trace-isolate Zero-COVID policy and exit strategy of COVID-19 pandemic.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2022Article
- Perception of COVID-19 Testing in the Entire Population.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Empirical evidence to understand the human factor for effective rapid testing against SARS-CoV-2.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
- Modeling population-wide testing of SARS-CoV-2 for containing COVID-19 pandemic in Okinawa, Japan.Journal of general and family medicine · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
To break the chains of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and contain the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, population-wide testing has been practiced in various countries. However, scant research has addressed this topic in Japan. In this modeling exercise, we extracted the number of daily reported cases of COVID-19 in Okinawa from October 1 to November 30, 2020, and explored possible scenarios for decreasing COVID-19 incidence by combining population-wide screening and/or social distancing policy. We reveal that permanent lockdown can be theoretically replaced by mass testing but sufficient target population at an adequate frequency must be mobilized. In addition, solely imposing a circuit breaker will not bring a favorable outcome in the long run, and mass testing presents implications for minimizing a period of lockdown. Our results highlight the importance of incentivizing citizens to join the frequent testing and ensure their appropriate isolation. This study also suggests that early containment of COVID-19 will be feasible in prefectures where the mobility is low and/or can be easily controlled for its geographic characteristics. Rigorous investment in public health will be manifestly vital to contain COVID-19.
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