Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34221247›Full record

ArticleThe European physical journal. Special topics2021

Moving the epidemic tipping point through topologically targeted social distancing.

Sara Ansari, Mehrnaz Anvari, Oskar Pfeffer, Nora Molkenthin, Mohammad R Moosavi, Frank Hellmann, Jobst Heitzig, Jürgen Kurths

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The European physical journal. Special topics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact, top 96% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 0 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Sara AnsariFutureLab on Game Theory and Networks of Interacting Agents, Complexity Science Department, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany.
Mehrnaz AnvariPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.
Oskar PfefferPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.
Nora MolkenthinPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.
Mohammad R MoosaviDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran.
Frank HellmannPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.
Jobst HeitzigFutureLab on Game Theory and Networks of Interacting Agents, Complexity Science Department, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany.
Jürgen KurthsPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research · DEShiraz University · IRSechenov University · RUTechnische Universität Berlin · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The epidemic threshold of a social system is the ratio of infection and recovery rate above which a disease spreading in it becomes an epidemic. In the absence of pharmaceutical interventions (i.e. vaccines), the only way to control a given disease is to move this threshold by non-pharmaceutical interventions like social distancing, past the epidemic threshold corresponding to the disease, thereby tipping the system from epidemic into a non-epidemic regime. Modeling the disease as a spreading process on a social graph, social distancing can be modeled by removing some of the graphs links. It has been conjectured that the largest eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix of the resulting graph corresponds to the systems epidemic threshold. Here we use a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method to study those link removals that do well at reducing the largest eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix. The MCMC method generates samples from the relative canonical network ensemble with a defined expectation value of

Identifiers

PMID34221247
PMCPMC8237042
OpenAlexW3132061052

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.