Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34217368›Full record

ArticleBMC research notes2021

The impact of Health Transformation Plan on natural vaginal delivery and cesarean section frequency in Iran: an interrupted time series analysis.

Farhad Lotfi, Saeed Lohivash, Zahra Kavosi, Sakine Owjimehr, Mohsen Bayati

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC research notes, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Farhad Lotfi *School of Health Management and Information Sciences, Health Human Resources Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Almas Building, Alley 29, Qasrodasht Ave, P.O. code: 71336-54361, Shiraz, Iran.
Saeed Lohivash *School of Health Management and Information Sciences, Health Human Resources Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Almas Building, Alley 29, Qasrodasht Ave, P.O. code: 71336-54361, Shiraz, Iran.
Zahra KavosiSchool of Health Management and Information Sciences, Health Human Resources Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Almas Building, Alley 29, Qasrodasht Ave, P.O. code: 71336-54361, Shiraz, Iran.
Sakine OwjimehrDepartment of Economics, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran.
Mohsen BayatiSchool of Health Management and Information Sciences, Health Human Resources Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Almas Building, Alley 29, Qasrodasht Ave, P.O. code: 71336-54361, Shiraz, Iran. bayatim66@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9118-5447

Funding

Shiraz University of Medical Sciences 14958
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study was conducted to evaluate the effect of the Iran's Health Transformation Plan on the frequency of natural vaginal deliveries (NVDs), cesarean sections (CSs), and total deliveries in the Fars province of Iran.

resultsAverage number of total deliveries before and after the reform were 3946 and 3810, respectively (p  =  0.164). The ratio of CS to total deliveries in the first study month was 54%. This rate reached 47% in the last month (p  <  0.01). However, it had much fluctuation trend. The ITSA results showed that in the short-run, the NVD rate increased (β  =  492.79, p  <  0.01), the rate of CS decreased (β  =  - 407.09, p  <  0.01), and total deliveries increased (β  =  85.75, p  <  0.724). However, in the long-run, the NVD (β  =  5.74, p  <  0.423), CS (β  =  10.21, p  <  0.189), and total deliveries (β  =  15.96, p  <  0.256) had no significant changes after the reform. Encouraging the NVD package was influential in the short-run but not in the longrun in Iran. Pricing and supply-side policies could not reduce the rate of non-clinical CS on their own. Therefore, paying attention to demand-side policies and changes in consumer behaviors, such as educating the women at the age of pregnancy about the advantages and disadvantages of CS and NVD and correcting misconceptions, could be helpful.

Indexed as

Cesarean SectionDelivery, ObstetricFemaleHealth PlanningHumansInterrupted Time Series AnalysisIranPregnancyCesarean sectionHealth care reformInterrupted time series analysisNatural vaginal deliveryObstetric delivery

Identifiers

PMID34217368
PMCPMC8254991

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.