Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34213047›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2021

Widespread regeneration failure in forests of Greater Yellowstone under scenarios of future climate and fire.

Werner Rammer, Kristin H Braziunas, Winslow D Hansen, Zak Ratajczak, Anthony L Westerling, Monica G Turner, Rupert Seidl

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. The use of fire to preserve biodiversity under novel fire regimes.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Interactive effects of changes in UV radiation and climate on terrestrial ecosystems, biogeochemical cycles, and feedbacks to the climate system.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Feast or famine: How is global change affecting forage supply for Yellowstone's ungulate herds?Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Post-disturbance reorganization of forest ecosystems in a changing world.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Environmental effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and interactions with climate change: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2021.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Werner RammerEcosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group, Technical University of Munich, Freising, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6871-6759
Kristin H BraziunasDepartment of Integrative Biology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, USA.
Winslow D HansenEarth Institute, Columbia University, New York City, NY, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3868-9416
Zak RatajczakDepartment of Integrative Biology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4675-5738
Anthony L WesterlingSierra Nevada Research Institute, University of California, Merced, CA, USA.
Monica G TurnerDepartment of Integrative Biology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, USA.
Rupert SeidlEcosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group, Technical University of Munich, Freising, Germany.

Funding

Columbia University's Center for Climate and LifeJoint Fire Science Program 16-3-01-4NSF AGS-1243204University of Wisconsin Vilas Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Changing climate and disturbance regimes are increasingly challenging the resilience of forest ecosystems around the globe. A powerful indicator for the loss of resilience is regeneration failure, that is, the inability of the prevailing tree species to regenerate after disturbance. Regeneration failure can result from the interplay among disturbance changes (e.g., larger and more frequent fires), altered climate conditions (e.g., increased drought), and functional traits (e.g., method of seed dispersal). This complexity makes projections of regeneration failure challenging. Here we applied a novel simulation approach assimilating data-driven fire projections with vegetation responses from process modeling by means of deep neural networks. We (i) quantified the future probability of regeneration failure; (ii) identified spatial hotspots of regeneration failure; and (iii) assessed how current forest types differ in their ability to regenerate under future climate and fire. We focused on the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem (2.9 × 10

Indexed as

PinusWildfiresClimateClimate ChangeEcosystemForestsdeep learningforest resiliencefuture fire and climate regimesGreater Yellowstone Ecosytemregeneration failuresimulation modellingSVD

Identifiers

PMID34213047
PMCPMC13420808

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.