Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34210008›Full record

ArticleEntropy (Basel, Switzerland)2021

An Active Inference Model of Collective Intelligence.

Rafael Kaufmann, Pranav Gupta, Jacob Taylor

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Entropy (Basel, Switzerland), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The Game of Self: Identity and Experience as Active Inference.Personality and social psychology review : an official journal of the Society for Personality and Social Psychology, Inc · 2026
    Article
  2. Intermittent Active Inference.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Collective behavior from surprise minimization.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  8. Federated inference and belief sharing.Neuroscience and biobehavioral reviews · 2024
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Epistemic Communities under Active Inference.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Rafael KaufmannIndependent Researcher, Brooklyn, NY 11215, USA.
Pranav GuptaTepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2640-1390
Jacob TaylorInstitute of Cognitive & Evolutionary Anthropology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6PN, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9367-0369
Australian National University · AUCarnegie Mellon University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Collective intelligence, an emergent phenomenon in which a composite system of multiple interacting agents performs at levels greater than the sum of its parts, has long compelled research efforts in social and behavioral sciences. To date, however, formal models of collective intelligence have lacked a plausible mathematical description of the relationship between local-scale interactions between autonomous sub-system components (individuals) and global-scale behavior of the composite system (the collective). In this paper we use the Active Inference Formulation (AIF), a framework for explaining the behavior of any non-equilibrium steady state system at any scale, to posit a minimal agent-based model that simulates the relationship between local individual-level interaction and collective intelligence. We explore the effects of providing baseline AIF agents (Model 1) with specific cognitive capabilities: Theory of Mind (Model 2), Goal Alignment (Model 3), and Theory of Mind with Goal Alignment (Model 4). These stepwise transitions in sophistication of cognitive ability are motivated by the types of advancements plausibly required for an AIF agent to persist and flourish in an environment populated by other highly autonomous AIF agents, and have also recently been shown to map naturally to canonical steps in human cognitive ability. Illustrative results show that stepwise cognitive transitions increase system performance by providing complementary mechanisms for alignment between agents' local and global optima. Alignment emerges endogenously from the dynamics of interacting AIF agents themselves, rather than being imposed exogenously by incentives to agents' behaviors (contra existing computational models of collective intelligence) or top-down priors for collective behavior (contra existing multiscale simulations of AIF). These results shed light on the types of generic information-theoretic patterns conducive to collective intelligence in human and other complex adaptive systems.

Indexed as

active inferenceagent-based modelcollective intelligencecomplex adaptive systemscomputational modelfree energy principlemultiscale systems

Identifiers

PMID34210008
PMCPMC8306784
OpenAlexW3152150563

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.