Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34209487›Full record

ArticleGenes2021

Machine Learning Prediction of Biomarkers from SNPs and of Disease Risk from Biomarkers in the UK Biobank.

Erik Widen, Timothy G Raben, Louis Lello, Stephen D H Hsu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Genes, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Which RJournal of human genetics · 2026
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Advancing healthcare: the role and impact of AI and foundation models.American journal of translational research · 2024
    Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Survey and Evaluation of Hypertension Machine Learning Research.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2023
    Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Erik WidenDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, Michigan State University, 567 Wilson Rd, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA.
Timothy G RabenDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, Michigan State University, 567 Wilson Rd, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2681-4179
Louis LelloDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, Michigan State University, 567 Wilson Rd, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA.
Stephen D H HsuDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, Michigan State University, 567 Wilson Rd, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA.
Genomic Prediction (United States) · USMichigan State University · US

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_QA137853
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We use UK Biobank data to train predictors for 65 blood and urine markers such as HDL, LDL, lipoprotein A, glycated haemoglobin, etc. from SNP genotype. For example, our Polygenic Score (PGS) predictor correlates ∼0.76 with lipoprotein A level, which is highly heritable and an independent risk factor for heart disease. This may be the most accurate genomic prediction of a quantitative trait that has yet been produced (specifically, for European ancestry groups). We also train predictors of common disease risk using blood and urine biomarkers alone (no DNA information); we call these predictors biomarker risk scores, BMRS. Individuals who are at high risk (e.g., odds ratio of >5× population average) can be identified for conditions such as coronary artery disease (AUC∼0.75), diabetes (AUC∼0.95), hypertension, liver and kidney problems, and cancer using biomarkers alone. Our atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) predictor uses ∼10 biomarkers and performs in UKB evaluation as well as or better than the American College of Cardiology ASCVD Risk Estimator, which uses quite different inputs (age, diagnostic history, BMI, smoking status, statin usage, etc.). We compare polygenic risk scores (risk conditional on genotype: PRS) for common diseases to the risk predictors which result from the concatenation of learned functions BMRS and PGS, i.e., applying the BMRS predictors to the PGS output.

Indexed as

AdultAtherosclerosisBiological Specimen BanksBiomarkersCalciumCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleHeart Disease Risk FactorsHemoglobinsHumansLipoprotein(a)Lipoproteins, HDLLipoproteins, LDLMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedBiomarkersCalciumHemoglobinsLipoprotein(a)Lipoproteins, HDLLipoproteins, LDLatherosclerotic cardiovascular diseasebiomarkersdisease riskmachine learningpolygenic scores

Identifiers

PMID34209487
PMCPMC8308062
OpenAlexW3174053279

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.