Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34197637›Full record

ArticleClinical pharmacology and therapeutics2022

Emulating Control Arms for Cancer Clinical Trials Using External Cohorts Created From Electronic Health Record-Derived Real-World Data.

Katherine Tan, Jonathan Bryan, Brian Segal, Lawrence Bellomo, Nate Nussbaum, Melisa Tucker, Aracelis Z Torres, Carrie Bennette, William Capra, Melissa Curtis and 1 more

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical pharmacology and therapeutics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. AI-based augmentation of oncology clinical trials.Nature reviews. Clinical oncology · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Katherine TanFlatiron Health, Inc., New York, New York, USA.
Jonathan BryanFlatiron Health, Inc., New York, New York, USA.
Brian SegalFlatiron Health, Inc., New York, New York, USA.
Lawrence BellomoFlatiron Health, Inc., New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6872-8378
Nate NussbaumFlatiron Health, Inc., New York, New York, USA.
Melisa TuckerFlatiron Health, Inc., New York, New York, USA.
Aracelis Z TorresFlatiron Health, Inc., New York, New York, USA.
Carrie BennetteFlatiron Health, Inc., New York, New York, USA.
William CapraGenentech, South San Francisco, California, USA.
Melissa CurtisFlatiron Health, Inc., New York, New York, USA.
Rebecca A MiksadFlatiron Health, Inc., New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3194-5122

Funding

Flatiron Health Inc.
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Electronic health record (EHR)-derived real-world data (RWD) can be sourced to create external comparator cohorts to oncology clinical trials. This exploratory study assessed whether EHR-derived patient cohorts could emulate select clinical trial control arms across multiple tumor types. The impact of analytic decisions on emulation results was also evaluated. By digitizing Kaplan-Meier curves, we reconstructed published control arm results from 15 trials that supported drug approvals from January 1, 2016, to April 30, 2018. RWD cohorts were constructed using a nationwide EHR-derived de-identified database by aligning eligibility criteria and weighting to trial baseline characteristics. Trial data and RWD cohorts were compared using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression models for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS; individual cohorts) and multitumor random effects models of hazard ratios (HRs) for median endpoint correlations (across cohorts). Post hoc, the impact of specific analytic decisions on endpoints was assessed using a case study. Comparing trial data and weighted RWD cohorts, PFS results were more similar (HR range = 0.63-1.18, pooled HR = 0.84, correlation of median = 0.91) compared to OS (HR range = 0.36-1.09, pooled HR = 0.76, correlation of median = 0.85). OS HRs were more variable and trended toward worse for RWD cohorts. The post hoc case study had OS HR ranging from 0.67 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.56-0.79) to 0.92 (95% CI: 0.78-1.09) depending on specific analytic decisions. EHR-derived RWD can emulate oncology clinical trial control arm results, although with variability. Visibility into clinical trial cohort characteristics may shape and refine analytic approaches.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials as TopicElectronic Health RecordsCohort StudiesCorrelation of DataDatabases, FactualHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateNeoplasmsProgression-Free SurvivalProportional Hazards Models

Identifiers

PMID34197637
PMCPMC9292216

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.