Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34195989›Full record

Observational studyHealth services research2022

Nonlinear association of nurse staffing and readmissions uncovered in machine learning analysis.

Olga Yakusheva, James T Bang, Ronda G Hughes, Kathleen L Bobay, Linda Costa, Marianne E Weiss

Open access · bronzeAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Health services research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Decoding machine learning in nursing research: A scoping review of effective algorithms.Journal of nursing scholarship : an official publication of Sigma Theta Tau International Honor Society of Nursing · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Olga YakushevaDepartment of Systems, Populations, and Leadership, School of Nursing, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5501-1397
James T BangDepartment of Economics, St. Ambrose University, Davenport, Iowa, USA.
Ronda G HughesCenter for Nursing Leadership, College of Nursing, University of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina, USA.
Kathleen L BobayMarcella Niehoff School of Nursing, Loyola University Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Linda CostaSchool of Nursing, University of Maryland, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Marianne E WeissCollege of Nursing, Marquette University, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4217-9822
Loyola University Chicago · USMarquette University · USSaint Ambrose University · USUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore · USUniversity of Michigan · USUniversity of South Carolina · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveSeveral studies of nurse staffing and patient outcomes found a curvilinear or U-shaped relationship, with benefits from additional nurse staffing diminishing or reversing at high staffing levels. This study examined potential diminishing returns to nurse staffing and the existence of a "tipping point" or the level of staffing after which higher nurse staffing no longer improves and may worsen readmissions. DATA SOURCES/STUDY

settingThe Readiness Evaluation And Discharge Interventions (READI) study database of over 130,000 adult (18+) inpatient discharges from 62 medical, surgical, and medical-surgical (noncritical care) units from 31 United States (US) hospitals during October 2014-March 2017. STUDY

designObservational cross-sectional study using a fully nonparametric random forest machine learning method. Primary exposure was nurse hours per patient day (HPPD) broken down by registered nurses (nonovertime and overtime) and nonlicensed nursing personnel. The outcome was 30-day all-cause same-hospital readmission. Partial dependence plots were used to visualize the pattern of predicted patient readmission risk along a range of unit staffing levels, holding all other patient characteristics and hospital and unit structural variables constant. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION

methodsSecondary analysis of the READI data. Missing values were imputed using the missing forest algorithm in R. PRINCIPAL

findingsPartial dependence plots were U-shaped, showing the readmission risk first declining and then rising with additional nurse staffing. The tipping points were at 6.95 and 0.21 HPPD for registered nurse staffing (nonovertime and overtime, respectively) and 2.91 HPPD of nonlicensed nursing personnel.

conclusionsThe U-shaped association was consistent with diminishing returns to nurse staffing suggesting that incremental gains in readmission reduction from additional nurse staffing taper off and could reverse at high staffing levels. If confirmed in future causal analyses across multiple outcomes, accompanying investments in infrastructure and human resources may be needed to maximize nursing performance outcomes at higher levels of nurse staffing.

Indexed as

Nursing Staff, HospitalPersonnel Staffing and SchedulingAdultCross-Sectional StudiesHumansMachine LearningPatient ReadmissionUnited StatesWorkforcediminishing returnsmachine learningnursingreadmissionsunit staffing

Identifiers

PMID34195989
PMCPMC8928027
OpenAlexW3177240559

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.