Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34193193›Full record

ArticleJournal of translational medicine2021

Nomogram for short-term outcome assessment in AChR subtype generalized myasthenia gravis.

Rui Zhao, Ying Wang, Xiao Huan, Huahua Zhong, Zhirui Zhou, Jianying Xi, Yuwei Da, Lin Lei, Ting Chang, Zhe Ruan and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of translational medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Rui Zhao *Department of Neurology, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, No.12 Middle Wulumuqi Road, Shanghai, 200040, China.
Ying Wang *Department of Pharmacy, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Xiao HuanDepartment of Neurology, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, No.12 Middle Wulumuqi Road, Shanghai, 200040, China.
Huahua ZhongDepartment of Neurology, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, No.12 Middle Wulumuqi Road, Shanghai, 200040, China.
Zhirui ZhouRadiation Oncology Center, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Jianying XiDepartment of Neurology, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, No.12 Middle Wulumuqi Road, Shanghai, 200040, China.
Yuwei DaDepartment of Neurology, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Lin LeiDepartment of Neurology, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Ting ChangDepartment of Neurology, Tangdu Hospital, the Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Zhe RuanDepartment of Neurology, Tangdu Hospital, the Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Lijun LuoDepartment of Neurology, Wuhan No.1 Hospital, Wuhan, China.
Shengnan LiDepartment of Neurology, Wuhan No.1 Hospital, Wuhan, China.
Huan YangDepartment of Neurology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China.
Yi LiDepartment of Neurology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China.
Sushan LuoDepartment of Neurology, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, No.12 Middle Wulumuqi Road, Shanghai, 200040, China. luosushan@fudan.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0002-9033-7568
Chongbo ZhaoDepartment of Neurology, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, No.12 Middle Wulumuqi Road, Shanghai, 200040, China. zhao_chongbo@fudan.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAn accurate prediction for prognosis can help in guiding the therapeutic options and optimizing the trial design for generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG). We aimed to develop and validate a predictive nomogram to assess the short-term outcome in patients with the anti-acetylcholine receptor (AChR) subtype gMG.

methodsWe retrospectively reviewed 165 patients with AChR subtype gMG who were immunotherapy naïve at the first visit from five tertiary centers in China. The short-term clinical outcome is defined as the achievement of minimal symptom expression (MSE) at 12 months. Of them, 120 gMG patients from Huashan Hospital were enrolled to form a derivation cohort (n = 96) and a temporal validation cohort (n = 24) for the nomogram. Then, this nomogram was externally validated using 45 immunotherapy naïve AChR subtype gMG from the other four hospitals. Multivariate logistic regression was used to screen independent factors and construct the nomogram.

resultsMSE was achieved in 70 (72.9%), 20 (83.3%), and 33 (73.3%) patients in the training, temporal validation, and external validation cohort, respectively. The duration ≤ 12 months (p = 0.021), ocular score ≤ 2 (p = 0.006), QMG score > 13 (p = 0.008), and gross motor score ≤ 9 (p = 0.006) were statistically associated with MSE in AChR subtype gMG. The nomogram has good performance in predicting MSE as the concordance indexes are 0.81 (95% CI, 0.72-0.90) in the development cohort, 0.944 (95% CI, 0.83-1.00) in the temporal validation cohort, and 0.773 (95% CI, 0.63-0.92) in the external validation cohort.

conclusionThe nomogram achieved an optimal prediction of MSE in AChR subtype gMG patients using the baseline clinical characters.

Indexed as

Myasthenia GravisReceptors, CholinergicAutoantibodiesChinaHumansNomogramsRetrospective StudiesAutoantibodiesReceptors, CholinergicAnti-acetylcholine receptor antibodyGeneralized myasthenia gravisMinimal symptom expressionNomogram

Identifiers

PMID34193193
PMCPMC8247112

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.