Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34191983›Full record

ArticleStatistics in biopharmaceutical research2020

Machine learning for clinical trials in the era of COVID-19.

William R Zame, Ioana Bica, Cong Shen, Alicia Curth, Hyun-Suk Lee, Stuart Bailey, James Weatherall, David Wright, Frank Bretz, Mihaela van der Schaar

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in biopharmaceutical research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
11.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 70 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. TrialView: An AI-powered Visual Analytics System for Temporal Event Data in Clinical Trials.Proceedings of the ... Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences · 2024
    Article
  6. Review
  7. A Review of the Machine Learning Algorithms for Covid-19 Case Analysis.IEEE transactions on artificial intelligence · 2023
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Intelligent system for COVID-19 prognosis: a state-of-the-art survey.Applied intelligence (Dordrecht, Netherlands) · 2021
    Article
  14. A Framework for Inferring Epidemiological Model Parameters using Bayesian Nonparametrics.AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium · 2021
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Drugs in context · 2021
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

William R ZameDepartment of Economics and Mathematics, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, USA;
Ioana BicaUniversity of Oxford, Oxford, UK;
Cong ShenDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA;
Alicia CurthUniversity of Oxford, Oxford, UK;
Hyun-Suk LeeDepartment of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge, UK;
Stuart BaileyNovartis Pharmaceuticals, Cambridge, MA, USA.
James WeatherallAstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK;
David WrightAstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK;
Frank BretzNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland;
Mihaela van der SchaarThe Alan Turing Institute, London, UK.
AstraZeneca (United Kingdom) · GBUniversity of California, Los Angeles · USUniversity of Oxford · GBNovartis (Switzerland) · CHNovartis (United States) · USUniversity of Cambridge · GBUniversity of Virginia · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The world is in the midst of a pandemic. We still know little about the disease COVID-19 or about the virus (SARS-CoV-2) that causes it. We do not have a vaccine or a treatment (aside from managing symptoms). We do not know if recovery from COVID-19 produces immunity, and if so for how long, hence we do not know if "herd immunity" will eventually reduce the risk or if a successful vaccine can be developed - and this knowledge may be a long time coming. In the meantime, the COVID-19 pandemic is presenting enormous challenges to medical research, and to clinical trials in particular. This paper identifies some of those challenges and suggests ways in which machine learning can help in response to those challenges. We identify three areas of challenge: ongoing clinical trials for non-COVID-19 drugs; clinical trials for repurposing drugs to treat COVID-19, and clinical trials for new drugs to treat COVID-19. Within each of these areas, we identify aspects for which we believe machine learning can provide invaluable assistance.

Indexed as

clinical trialsCOVID-19machine learningSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34191983
PMCPMC8011491
OpenAlexW3043505424

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.