ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021
Pan-African evolution of within- and between-country COVID-19 dynamics.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Effectiveness of testing, contact tracing and isolation interventions among the general population on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2: a systematic review.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2023Pooled it
- Evolution of COVID-19 dynamics in Guangdong Province, China: an endemic-epidemic modeling study.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2024Article
- Towards a comprehensive COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions' index for the province of Québec.BMC research notes · 2024Article
- Predicting subnational incidence of COVID-19 cases and deaths in EU countries.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- The impact of national and international travel on spatio-temporal transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Belgium in 2021.BMC infectious diseases · 2023Article
- Spatio-temporal model to investigate COVID-19 spread accounting for the mobility amongst municipalities.Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology · 2023Article
- Staging of COVID-19 disease; using selected laboratory profiles for prediction, prevention and management of severe SARS-CoV-2 infection in Africa-review.African health sciences · 2023Review
- The non-linear and interactive effects of meteorological factors on the transmission of COVID-19: A panel smooth transition regression model for cities across the globe.International journal of disaster risk reduction : IJDRR · 2023Article
- Spatiotemporal dynamics and potential ecological drivers of acute respiratory infectious diseases: an example of scarlet fever in Sichuan Province.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Assessing the effect of school closures on the spread of COVID-19 in Zurich.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2022Article
- Estimating SARS-CoV-2 variant fitness and the impact of interventions in England using statistical and geo-spatial agent-based models.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022Article
- Modelling the effect of a border closure between Switzerland and Italy on the spatiotemporal spread of COVID-19 in Switzerland.Spatial statistics · 2022Article
- Patterns of presentation, prevalence and associated factors of mortality in ICU among adult patients during the pandemic of COVID 19: A retrospective cross-sectional study.Annals of medicine and surgery (2012) · 2022Article
- A framework for reconstructing transmission networks in infectious diseases.Applied network science · 2022Article
- An endemic-epidemic beta model for time series of infectious disease proportions.Journal of applied statistics · 2022Article
- Vaccination and Government Stringent Control as Effective Strategies in Preventing SARS-CoV-2 Infections: A Global Perspective.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- COVID-19 Vaccine Boosters: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly.Vaccines · 2021Article
- Building toward useful SARS-CoV-2 models in Africa.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
- Verification of operational numerical weather prediction model forecasts of precipitation using satellite rainfall estimates over Africa.Meteorological applicationsArticle
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Authors and funding
19 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is heterogeneous throughout Africa and threatening millions of lives. Surveillance and short-term modeling forecasts are critical to provide timely information for decisions on control strategies. We created a strategy that helps predict the country-level case occurrences based on cases within or external to a country throughout the entire African continent, parameterized by socioeconomic and geoeconomic variations and the lagged effects of social policy and meteorological history. We observed the effect of the Human Development Index, containment policies, testing capacity, specific humidity, temperature, and landlocked status of countries on the local within-country and external between-country transmission. One-week forecasts of case numbers from the model were driven by the quality of the reported data. Seeking equitable behavioral and social interventions, balanced with coordinated country-specific strategies in infection suppression, should be a continental priority to control the COVID-19 pandemic in Africa.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.