Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34186242›Full record

ArticleContemporary clinical trials2021

Why ITT analysis is not always the answer for estimating treatment effects in clinical trials.

Oliver N Keene, David Wright, Alan Phillips, Melanie Wright

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Contemporary clinical trials, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Demystifying estimands in cluster-randomised trials.Statistical methods in medical research · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Marking 2-Years of New Thinking in Clinical Trials: The Estimand Journey.Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Estimands-A Basic Element for Clinical Trials.Deutsches Arzteblatt international · 2021
    Article
  16. Pharmaceutical statistics
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Oliver N KeeneBiostatistics, GlaxoSmithKline Research and Development, Brentford, Middlesex, UK. Electronic address: oliverkeene405@gmail.com.
David WrightData Science & Artificial Intelligence, BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
Alan PhillipsBiostatistics, ICON Clinical Research UK Ltd, Marlow, Buckinghamshire, UK.
Melanie WrightClinical Development and Analytics, Novartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

For many years there has been a consensus among the Clinical Research community that ITT analysis represents the correct approach for the vast majority of trials. Recent worldwide regulatory guidance for pharmaceutical industry trials has allowed discussion of alternatives to the ITT approach to analysis; different treatment effects can be considered which may be more clinically meaningful and more relevant to patients and prescribers. The key concept is of a trial "estimand", a precise description of the estimated treatment effect. The strategy chosen to account for patients who discontinue treatment or take alternative medications which are not part of the randomised treatment regimen are important determinants of this treatment effect. One strategy to account for these events is treatment policy, which corresponds to an ITT approach. Alternative equally valid strategies address what the treatment effect is if the patient actually takes the treatment or does not use specific alternative medication. There is no single right answer to which strategy is most appropriate, the solution depends on the key clinical question of interest. The estimands framework discussed in the new guidance has been particularly useful in the context of the current COVID-19 pandemic and has clarified what choices are available to account for the impact of COVID-19 on clinical trials. Specifically, an ITT approach addresses a treatment effect that may not be generalisable beyond the current pandemic.

Indexed as

COVID-19PandemicsHumansSARS-CoV-2EstimandsEstimationIntent-to-TreatITTMissing dataMultiple imputationTreatment policy

Identifiers

PMID34186242
PMCPMC8234249

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.