Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34184631›Full record

ReviewPsychological medicine2021

The problems with delay discounting: a critical review of current practices and clinical applications.

Allen J Bailey, Ricardo J Romeu, Peter R Finn

Open access · hybridAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Psychological medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
10.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 90 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Imagining the future can shape the present: A systematic review of the impact of episodic future thinking on substance use outcomes.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2024
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Domain-specific discounting of health and money: implications for health technology assessment.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
    Article
  6. Associations Between Steep Delay Discounting and Punishment Learning.Computational psychiatry (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2026
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Delay Discounting and Risk Tolerance in Obsessive Compulsive Disorder: Results From the Global OCD Study.Clinical psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2025
    Article
  15. Computational analysis of 100 K choice dilemmas: Decision attributes, trade-off structures, and model-based prediction.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  16. Review
  17. Associations between PTSD and temporal discounting: The role of future thinking.Journal of behavior therapy and experimental psychiatry · 2024
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Allen J BaileyDepartment of Psychological and Brain Sciences, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2844-495X
Ricardo J RomeuDepartment of Psychological and Brain Sciences, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA.
Peter R FinnDepartment of Psychological and Brain Sciences, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA.
Indiana University Bloomington · US

Funding

Behavioral Disinhibition in Early-onset AlcoholismR01AA013650 · NIAAA · TRUSTEES OF INDIANA UNIVERSITY · PI FINN, PETER R · 2002 to 2018
$5.5M
Training in Clinical Translational Science: Maximizing the Public Health ImpactT32MH103213 · NIMH · TRUSTEES OF INDIANA UNIVERSITY · PI WILLIAM P HETRICK · 2015 to 2026
$3.4M
INTEGRATIVE PREDOCTORAL TRAINING IN DRUG ABUSE RESEARCH AT INDIANA UNIVERSITYT32DA024628 · NIDA · TRUSTEES OF INDIANA UNIVERSITY · PI Andrea Grace Hohmann, Kenneth Mackie · 2008 to 2026
$3.1M
NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA013650NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA024628NIMH NIH HHS T32 MH103213
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Delay discounting paradigms have gained widespread popularity across clinical research. Given the prevalence in the field, researchers have set lofty expectations for the importance of delay discounting as a key transdiagnostic process and a 'core' process underlying specific domains of dysfunction (e.g. addiction). We believe delay discounting has been prematurely reified as, in and of itself, a core process underlying psychological dysfunction, despite significant concerns with the construct validity of discounting rates. Specifically, high delay discounting rates are only modestly related to measures of psychological dysfunction and therefore are not 'core' to these more complex behavioral problems. Furthermore, discounting rates do not appear to be specifically related to any disorder(s) or dimension(s) of psychopathology. This raises fundamental concerns about the utility of discounting, if the measure is only loosely associated with most forms of psychopathology. This stands in striking contrast to claims that discounting can serve as a 'marker' for specific disorders, despite never demonstrating adequate sensitivity or specificity for any disorder that we are aware of. Finally, empirical evidence does not support the generalizability of discounting rates to other decisions made either in the lab or in the real-world, and therefore discounting rates cannot and should not serve as a summary measure of an individual's decision-making patterns. We provide recommendations for improving future delay discounting research, but also strongly encourage researchers to consider whether the empirical evidence supports the field's hyper-focus on discounting.

Indexed as

Behavior, AddictiveDecision MakingDelay DiscountingImpulsive BehaviorPsychopathologyHumansRewardAlcoholbehavioral economicsconstruct validitydecision-makingdelay discountingimpulsivityRDoCsubstance usetransdiagnostic

Identifiers

PMID34184631
PMCPMC8381235
OpenAlexW3174195534

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.