Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34183432›Full record

ArticleHeart (British Cardiac Society)2022

Natriuretic peptide level at heart failure diagnosis and risk of hospitalisation and death in England 2004-2018.

Clare J Taylor, Sarah L Lay-Flurrie, José M Ordóñez-Mena, Clare R Goyder, Nicholas R Jones, Andrea K Roalfe, Fd Richard Hobbs

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Conceptualising diagnostic liminality: a qualitative exploration of the journey to heart failure diagnosis.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
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  8. Review
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  10. Prediction of recurrent heart failure hospitalizations and mortality using the echocardiographic Killip score.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
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  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Natriuretic peptide testing and heart failure diagnosis in primary care: diagnostic accuracy study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Clare J TaylorNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK clare.taylor@phc.ox.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-8926-2581
Sarah L Lay-FlurrieNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
José M Ordóñez-MenaNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Clare R GoyderNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7461-9661
Nicholas R JonesNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0352-3785
Andrea K RoalfeNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Fd Richard HobbsNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7976-7172
University of Oxford · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_11004Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveHeart failure (HF) is a malignant condition requiring urgent treatment. Guidelines recommend natriuretic peptide (NP) testing in primary care to prioritise referral for specialist diagnostic assessment. We aimed to assess association of baseline NP with hospitalisation and mortality in people with newly diagnosed HF.

methodsPopulation-based cohort study of 40 007 patients in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink in England with a new HF diagnosis (48% men, mean age 78.5 years). We used linked primary and secondary care data between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2018 to report one-year hospitalisation and 1-year, 5-year and 10-year mortality by NP level.

results22 085 (55%) participants were hospitalised in the year following diagnosis. Adjusted odds of HF-related hospitalisation in those with a high NP (NT-proBNP >2000 pg/mL) were twofold greater (OR 2.26 95% CI 1.98 to 2.59) than a moderate NP (NT-proBNP 400-2000 pg/mL). All-cause mortality rates in the high NP group were 27%, 62% and 82% at 1, 5 and 10 years, compared with 19%, 50% and 77%, respectively, in the moderate NP group and, in a competing risks model, risk of HF-related death was 50% higher at each timepoint. Median time between NP test and HF diagnosis was 101 days (IQR 19-581).

conclusionsHigh baseline NP is associated with increased HF-related hospitalisation and poor survival. While healthcare systems remain under pressure from the impact of COVID-19, research to test novel strategies to prevent hospitalisation and improve outcomes-such as a mandatory two-week HF diagnosis pathway-is urgently needed.

Indexed as

COVID-19Heart FailureAgedBiomarkersCohort StudiesFemaleHospitalizationHumansMaleNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide FragmentsSARS-CoV-2BiomarkersNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide Fragmentsheart failure

Identifiers

PMID34183432
PMCPMC8921592
OpenAlexW3167454846

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.