Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34176293›Full record

Observational studyJournal of the American Heart Association2021

Long-Term Blood Pressure Variability and Risk of Cognitive Decline and Dementia Among Older Adults.

Michael E Ernst, Joanne Ryan, Enayet K Chowdhury, Karen L Margolis, Lawrence J Beilin, Christopher M Reid, Mark R Nelson, Robyn L Woods, Raj C Shah, Suzanne G Orchard and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed
5.6field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 52 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Brazilian Guidelines of Hypertension - 2025.Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Observational
  9. Observational
  10. Long-Term Blood Pressure Variability and Physical Performance in Older Adults.Journal of clinical hypertension (Greenwich, Conn.) · 2025
    Observational
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 9 institutions in 2 countries.

Michael E ErnstDepartment of Pharmacy Practice and Science College of Pharmacy The University of Iowa Iowa City IA.
Joanne RyanSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia.
Enayet K ChowdhurySchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia.
Karen L MargolisHealthPartners Institute Minneapolis MN.
Lawrence J BeilinMedical School Royal Perth HospitalUniversity of Western Australia Perth Western Australia Australia.
Christopher M ReidSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia.
Mark R NelsonMenzies Institute for Medical Research University of Tasmania Hobart Tasmania Australia.
Robyn L WoodsSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia.
Raj C ShahDepartment of Family Medicine Rush University Medical Center Chicago IL.
Suzanne G OrchardSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia.
Rory WolfeSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia.
Elsdon StoreySchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia.
Andrew M TonkinSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia.
Amy BrodtmannFlorey Institute of Neuroscience and Mental Health Melbourne Victoria Australia.
John J McNeilSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia.
Anne M MurrayBerman Center for Outcomes and Clinical Research Hennepin-Health Research InstituteHennepin Healthcare Minneapolis MN.
Monash University · AUCurtin University · AUBerman Center for Outcomes and Clinical Research · USFlorey Institute of Neuroscience and Mental Health · AUHealthPartners · USRush University Medical Center · USThe University of Western Australia · AUUniversity of Iowa · USUniversity of Tasmania · AU

Funding

ASPirin in Reducing Events in the ElderlyU01AG029824 · NIA · HENNEPIN HEALTHCARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI MCNEIL, JOHN JAMES, MURRAY, ANNE M · 2009 to 2018
$64.6M
Main Administrative CoreU19AG062682 · NIA · HENNEPIN HEALTHCARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI CHAN, ANDREW T, MCNEIL, JOHN JAMES · 2019 to 2023
$42.9M
Research Education CoreP30AG024824 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Neil Alexander · 2004 to 2026
$29.2M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG024824NIA NIH HHS U01 AG029824NIA NIH HHS U19 AG062682
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background Blood pressure variability (BPV) in midlife increases risk of late-life dementia, but the impact of BPV on the cognition of adults who have already reached older ages free of major cognitive deficits is unknown. We examined the risk of incident dementia and cognitive decline associated with long-term, visit-to-visit BPV in a post hoc analysis of the ASPREE (Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) trial. Methods and Results ASPREE participants (N=19 114) were free of dementia and significant cognitive impairment at enrollment. Measurement of BP and administration of a standardized cognitive battery evaluating global cognition, delayed episodic memory, verbal fluency, and processing speed and attention occurred at baseline and follow-up visits. Time-to-event analysis using Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and corresponding 95% CI for incident dementia and cognitive decline, according to tertile of SD of systolic BPV. Individuals in the highest BPV tertile compared with the lowest had an increased risk of incident dementia and cognitive decline, independent of average BP and use of antihypertensive drugs. There was evidence that sex modified the association with incident dementia (interaction

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsAntihypertensive AgentsBlood PressureBlood Pressure DeterminationCognitionCognitive DysfunctionDementiaFemaleHumansHypertensionMaleMental Status and Dementia TestsProportional Hazards ModelsProspective StudiesAntihypertensive Agentsblood pressureblood pressure variabilitycognitive impairmentdementia

Identifiers

PMID34176293
PMCPMC8403315
OpenAlexW3173969036

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.