Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34173890›Full record

ArticleJournal of mathematical biology2021

Kinetic models for epidemic dynamics with social heterogeneity.

G Dimarco, B Perthame, G Toscani, M Zanella

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of mathematical biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. An SIR model with viral load-dependent transmission.Journal of mathematical biology · 2023
    Article
  7. Epidemic modeling with heterogeneity and social diffusion.Journal of mathematical biology · 2023
    Article
  8. Kinetic exchange models of societies and economies.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

G DimarcoMathematics and Computer Science Department, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy.
B PerthameSorbonne Université, CNRS, Université de Paris, Inria Laboratoire Jacques-Louis Lions, 75005, Paris, France.
G ToscaniMathematics Department, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
M ZanellaMathematics Department, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy. mattia.zanella@unipv.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8456-5866

Funding

H2020 European Research Council 740623Ministero dell'Istruzione, dell'Università e della Ricerca 2017KKJP4X
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We introduce a mathematical description of the impact of the number of daily contacts in the spread of infectious diseases by integrating an epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic modeling of population-based contacts. The kinetic description leads to study the evolution over time of Boltzmann-type equations describing the number densities of social contacts of susceptible, infected and recovered individuals, whose proportions are driven by a classical SIR-type compartmental model in epidemiology. Explicit calculations show that the spread of the disease is closely related to moments of the contact distribution. Furthermore, the kinetic model allows to clarify how a selective control can be assumed to achieve a minimal lockdown strategy by only reducing individuals undergoing a very large number of daily contacts. We conduct numerical simulations which confirm the ability of the model to describe different phenomena characteristic of the rapid spread of an epidemic. Motivated by the COVID-19 pandemic, a last part is dedicated to fit numerical solutions of the proposed model with infection data coming from different European countries.

Indexed as

COVID-19Models, TheoreticalPandemicsCommunicable Disease ControlHumansKinetics35Q8435Q9292D2592D30

Identifiers

PMID34173890
PMCPMC8233611

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.