ArticleEpidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)2021
HIV and Sexually Transmitted Infection Epidemic Potential of Networks of Men Who Have Sex With Men in Two Cities.
Article in Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- "We adjusted for race": now what? A systematic review of utilization and reporting of race in American Journal of Epidemiology and Epidemiology, 2020-2021.Epidemiologic reviews · 2023Pooled it
- Temporal Connectivity of Social Contact Networks in Urban and Rural India.Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2026Article
- Doxycycline Postexposure Prophylaxis May Dramatically Reduce Syphilis Among Gay, Bisexual, and Other Men Who Have Sex With Men: A Modeling Study.Sexually transmitted diseases · 2026Article
- Predictive Models to Identify Factors Associated with a High One-Time Sexual Partnership Rate Among U.S. Men Who Have Sex with Men.AIDS and behavior · 2026Article
- Epidemic thresholds across sexual behavior groups in the UK Biobank.Frontiers in reproductive health · 2026Article
- Doxycycline Postexposure Prophylaxis and Sexually Transmitted Infection Trends.JAMA internal medicine · 2025Article
- Article
- Improving and Extending STERGM Approximations Based on Cross-Sectional Data and Tie Durations.Journal of computational and graphical statistics : a joint publication of American Statistical Association, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America · 2024Article
- Dynamic Contact Networks of Residents of an Urban Jail in the Era of SARS-CoV-2.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023Article
- The global landscape of smallpox vaccination history and implications for current and future orthopoxvirus susceptibility: a modelling study.The Lancet. Infectious diseases · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThe speed with which a pathogen circulates in a sexual network is a function of network connectivity. Cross-sectional connectivity is a function of network features like momentary degree and assortative mixing. Temporal connectivity is driven by partner acquisition rates. The forward-reachable path (FRP) has been proposed as a summary measure of these two aspects of transmission potential. We use empirical data from San Francisco and Atlanta to estimate the generative parameters of the FRP and compare results to the HIV/sexually transmitted infection epidemics in each city.
methodsWe used temporal exponential random graph models to estimate the generative parameters for each city's dynamic sexual network from survey data. We then simulated stochastic dynamic networks from the fitted models and calculated the FRP for each realization, overall, and stratified by partnership type and demographics.
resultsThe overall mean and median paths were higher in San Francisco than in Atlanta. The overall paths for each city were greater than the sum of the paths in each individual partnership network. In the casual partnership network, the mean path was highest in the youngest age group and lowest in the oldest age group, despite the fact that the youngest group had the lowest mean momentary degree and past-year partner counts.
conclusionsThe FRP by age group revealed the additional utility of the measure beyond the temporal and cross-sectional network connectivity measures. Other nonnetwork factors are still necessary to infer total epidemic potential for any specific pathogen.
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