Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34169485›Full record

ArticleApplied health economics and health policy2021

Using Constrained Optimization for the Allocation of COVID-19 Vaccines in the Philippines.

Christian Alvin H Buhat, Destiny S M Lutero, Yancee H Olave, Kemuel M Quindala, Mary Grace P Recreo, Dylan Antonio S J Talabis, Monica C Torres, Jerrold M Tubay, Jomar F Rabajante

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Applied health economics and health policy, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Christian Alvin H BuhatInstitute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, Mathematics Building, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Jose R. Velasco Avenue, Los Baños City, 4031, Philippines. chbuhat@up.edu.ph.ORCID 0000-0003-4742-7688
Destiny S M LuteroInstitute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, Mathematics Building, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Jose R. Velasco Avenue, Los Baños City, 4031, Philippines.
Yancee H OlaveInstitute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, Mathematics Building, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Jose R. Velasco Avenue, Los Baños City, 4031, Philippines.
Kemuel M QuindalaInstitute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, Mathematics Building, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Jose R. Velasco Avenue, Los Baños City, 4031, Philippines.
Mary Grace P RecreoInstitute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, Mathematics Building, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Jose R. Velasco Avenue, Los Baños City, 4031, Philippines.
Dylan Antonio S J TalabisInstitute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, Mathematics Building, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Jose R. Velasco Avenue, Los Baños City, 4031, Philippines.
Monica C TorresInstitute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, Mathematics Building, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Jose R. Velasco Avenue, Los Baños City, 4031, Philippines.
Jerrold M TubayInstitute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, Mathematics Building, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Jose R. Velasco Avenue, Los Baños City, 4031, Philippines.
Jomar F RabajanteInstitute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, Mathematics Building, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Jose R. Velasco Avenue, Los Baños City, 4031, Philippines.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundVaccine allocation is a national concern especially for countries such as the Philippines that have limited resources in acquiring COVID-19 vaccines. As such, certain groups are suggested to be prioritized for vaccination to protect the most vulnerable before vaccinating others.

objectiveThe study aims to determine an optimal and equitable allocation of COVID-19 vaccines in the Philippines that will minimize the projected number of additional COVID-19 deaths while satisfying the priority groups for immediate vaccination.

methodsIn this study, a linear programming model is formulated to determine an allocation of vaccines such that COVID-19 deaths are minimized while the prioritization framework set by the government is satisfied. Data used were collected up to November 2020. Total vaccine supply, vaccine effectiveness, vaccine cost, and projected deaths are analyzed. Results of the model are also compared to other allocation approaches.

resultsResults of the model show that a vaccine coverage of around 60-70% of the population can be enough for a community with limited supplies, and an increase in vaccine supply is beneficial if the initial coverage is less than the specified target range. Additionally, among the vaccines considered in the study, the one with 89.9% effectiveness and a 183 Philippine peso price per dose projected the lowest number of deaths. Compared with other model variations and common allocation approaches, the model has achieved both an optimal and equitable allocation.

conclusionsHaving a 100% coverage for vaccination with a 100% effectiveness rate of vaccine is ideal for all countries. However, some countries have limited resources. Therefore, the results of our study can be used by policymakers to determine an optimal and equitable distribution of COVID-19 vaccines for a country/community.

Indexed as

COVID-19Health Care RationingCOVID-19 VaccinesHumansModels, TheoreticalPhilippinesVaccinationCOVID-19 Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID34169485
PMCPMC8225461

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.