Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34169000›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in oncology2021

Development and Validation of Multicenter Predictive Nomograms for Locally Advanced Pancreatic Cancer After Chemoradiotherapy.

Xiaofei Zhu, Wenyu Liu, Yangsen Cao, Tingshi Su, Xixu Zhu, Yiyang Wang, Xiaoping Ju, Xianzhi Zhao, Lingong Jiang, Yusheng Ye and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Xiaofei ZhuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Changhai Hospital Affiliated to Navy Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Wenyu LiuDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Changhai Hospital Affiliated to Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Yangsen CaoDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Changhai Hospital Affiliated to Navy Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Tingshi SuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China.
Xixu ZhuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, General Hospital of Eastern Theater Command, Nanjing, China.
Yiyang WangDepartment of Biostatistics, Shanghai Clinbrain Co. Ltd, Shanghai, China.
Xiaoping JuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Changhai Hospital Affiliated to Navy Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Xianzhi ZhaoDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Changhai Hospital Affiliated to Navy Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Lingong JiangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Changhai Hospital Affiliated to Navy Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Yusheng YeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Changhai Hospital Affiliated to Navy Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Huojun ZhangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Changhai Hospital Affiliated to Navy Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Second Military Medical University · CNChanghai Hospital · CNNanjing General Hospital of Nanjing Military Command · CNTumor Hospital of Guangxi Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveDue to common practice of hypofractionated radiotherapy in pancreatic cancer and heterogeneous chemotherapy regimens in previous studies, modified nomograms are required. Therefore, we aim to develop and validate prognostic nomograms for locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) after stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) and chemotherapy.

methodsThe development cohort comprised 925 patients with LAPC receiving SBRT and gemcitabine-based chemotherapy in our center, while 297 patients from another two centers formed the validation cohort. Nomograms were created from COX models and internally validated by bootstrap. Model discriminations were evaluated by calibration plots and concordance index (C-index). A decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to evaluate clinical benefits of nomograms. Additionally, recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was used for stratifications of survival probability based on the total score of each patient calculated by nomograms.

resultsWeight loss, tumor diameter, radiation dose, CA19-9 kinetics after treatment and surgical resection were included in the nomogram for overall survival (OS), while the five factors plus performance status formed the nomogram for progression free survival (PFS). The corrected C-indexes for estimated 1-year and 2-year OS of the development cohort were 0.88 (95% CI: 0.85-0.91) and 0.86 (95% CI: 0.83-0.90). For those of the validation cohort, it was 0.88 (95% CI: 0.82-0.94) and 0.83 (95% CI: 0.74-0.91). Additionally, the corrected C-index for predicted 1-year PFS in the development and validation cohort was 0.83 (95% CI: 0.81-0.86) and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.78-0.87), respectively. The calibration plots showed good agreement of 1- and 2-year OS and 1-year PFS between the estimations and actual observations. Potential clinical benefits were demonstrated with DCA. Additionally, for 1- and 2-year OS and 1-year PFS, patients were stratified into four groups with different survival probability by RPA.

conclusionThe validated nomograms provided useful predictions of OS and PFS for LAPC with chemoradiotherapy.

Indexed as

chemoradiotherapylocally advanced pancreatic cancernomogramsoverall survivalprogression free survival

Identifiers

PMID34169000
PMCPMC8217648
OpenAlexW3098710457

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.