Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34165078›Full record

ArticleeLife2021

Evaluating distributional regression strategies for modelling self-reported sexual age-mixing.

Timothy M Wolock, Seth Flaxman, Kathryn A Risher, Tawanda Dadirai, Simon Gregson, Jeffrey W Eaton

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact, top 93% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 0 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Timothy M WolockDepartment of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-5898-1014
Seth FlaxmanDepartment of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-2477-4217
Kathryn A RisherMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-9588-1693
Tawanda DadiraiManicaland Centre for Public Health Research, Biomedical Research and Training Institute, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Simon GregsonMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-2707-0714
Jeffrey W EatonMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7728-728X
Imperial College London · GBBiomedical Research and Training Institute · ZWLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GB

Funding

Statistical Models for Estimating and Projecting HIV/AIDS EpidemicsR01AI136664 · NIAID · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI BAO, LE · 2017 to 2021
$3.6M
Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation OPP1164897Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation OPP1190661Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council EP/V002910/1Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI136664
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The age dynamics of sexual partnership formation determine patterns of sexually transmitted disease transmission and have long been a focus of researchers studying human immunodeficiency virus. Data on self-reported sexual partner age distributions are available from a variety of sources. We sought to explore statistical models that accurately predict the distribution of sexual partner ages over age and sex. We identified which probability distributions and outcome specifications best captured variation in partner age and quantified the benefits of modelling these data using distributional regression. We found that distributional regression with a sinh-arcsinh distribution replicated observed partner age distributions most accurately across three geographically diverse data sets. This framework can be extended with well-known hierarchical modelling tools and can help improve estimates of sexual age-mixing dynamics.

Indexed as

Sexual PartnersAdultAge FactorsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalSelf ReportSexual BehaviorYoung Adultage mixingbayesian statisticsdistributional regressionepidemiologyglobal healthnonesexual behavioursinh-arcsinh distribution

Identifiers

PMID34165078
PMCPMC8263061
OpenAlexW3138806366

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.