Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34164838›Full record

SynthesisStatistics in medicine2021

Prospective individual patient data meta-analysis: Evaluating convalescent plasma for COVID-19.

Keith S Goldfeld, Danni Wu, Thaddeus Tarpey, Mengling Liu, Yinxiang Wu, Andrea B Troxel, Eva Petkova

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Statistics in medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Keith S GoldfeldDivision of Biostatistics, Department of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0292-8780
Danni WuDivision of Biostatistics, Department of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.
Thaddeus TarpeyDivision of Biostatistics, Department of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.
Mengling LiuDivision of Biostatistics, Department of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.
Yinxiang WuDivision of Biostatistics, Department of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.
Andrea B TroxelDivision of Biostatistics, Department of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1393-3075
Eva PetkovaDivision of Biostatistics, Department of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.

Funding

Project-005UL1TR001445 · NCATS · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI BREDELLA, MIRIAM ANTOINETTE, HOCHMAN, JUDITH S · 2015 to 2025
$103.5M
NCATS NIH HHS 3UL1TR001445-05S3NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001445NIH HHS 3UL1 TR001445-05S3
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As the world faced the devastation of the COVID-19 pandemic in late 2019 and early 2020, numerous clinical trials were initiated in many locations in an effort to establish the efficacy (or lack thereof) of potential treatments. As the pandemic has been shifting locations rapidly, individual studies have been at risk of failing to meet recruitment targets because of declining numbers of eligible patients with COVID-19 encountered at participating sites. It has become clear that it might take several more COVID-19 surges at the same location to achieve full enrollment and to find answers about what treatments are effective for this disease. This paper proposes an innovative approach for pooling patient-level data from multiple ongoing randomized clinical trials (RCTs) that have not been configured as a network of sites. We present the statistical analysis plan of a prospective individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis (MA) from ongoing RCTs of convalescent plasma (CP). We employ an adaptive Bayesian approach for continuously monitoring the accumulating pooled data via posterior probabilities for safety, efficacy, and harm. Although we focus on RCTs for CP and address specific challenges related to CP treatment for COVID-19, the proposed framework is generally applicable to pooling data from RCTs for other therapies and disease settings in order to find answers in weeks or months, rather than years.

Indexed as

Coronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19COVID-19 SerotherapyHumansImmunization, PassivePandemicsSARS-CoV-2Bayesian data and safety monitoringInternational consortium for data sharing from ongoing RCTsstatistical analysis planstopping rules

Identifiers

PMID34164838
PMCPMC8441650

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.