ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2021
Effect of the covid-19 pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across populations in the USA and other high income countries: simulations of provisional mortality data.
Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 85 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
85 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Is Austerity Responsible for the Stalled Mortality Trends Across Many High-Income Countries? A Systematic Review.International journal of social determinants of health and health services · 2024Pooled it
- Article
- Excess Mortality as the Primary Mediator of COVID-19's Impact on Life Expectancy in Europe: A Multilevel Longitudinal Analysis of Regional Disparities.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2026Article
- PCORnet®: A National Resource for Patient-centered Health Research.Medical care · 2026Article
- Changes in life expectancy and life span equality during the COVID-19 epidemic in 2020-22 in Japan.PloS one · 2026Article
- Acute SARS-CoV-2 infection.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2025Review
- Influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the incidence and mortality of primary spinal tumors in the United States: A SEER analysis.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025Article
- Pre-COVID-19 Geographic Inequalities in Non-Hispanic Black US Life Expectancy, 1990 to 2019.Population and development review · 2025Article
- The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality and life expectancy in northern Ghana: findings from the Navrongo Health and Demographic Surveillance System.Population health metrics · 2025Article
- Methodological approaches to structural change: epidemiology and the case for reparations.American journal of epidemiology · 2025Article
- Article
- Restoring life expectancy in low-income countries: the combined impact of COVID-19, health expenditure, GDP, and child mortality.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Demographic Differences in Mortality in the District of ColumbiaJAMA network open · 2025Article
- Article
- Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Life Expectancy in South Korea, 2019-2022.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Healthcare provider recommendations for COVID-19 vaccination: Prevalence, disparities, and correlates.Patient education and counseling · 2025Article
- Gazing into the crystal ball: Do adolescent survival expectations predict premature mortality risk in the United States?Social science & medicine (1982) · 2025Article
- Promoting inclusion in COVID-19 research for diverse Hispanic/Latino(x) populations: Recommendations from the RADx® Underserved Populations Hispanic/Latino/Latinx working group.Journal of clinical and translational science · 2025Article
- Unincorporation in counties as a political determinant of health: An exploration of five states.SSM - population health · 2024Article
- Psychiatric Epidemiology During the COVID-19 Pandemic.Current epidemiology reports · 2024Article
25 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
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Abstract
objectiveTo estimate changes in life expectancy in 2010-18 and during the covid-19 pandemic in 2020 across population groups in the United States and to compare outcomes with peer nations.
designSimulations of provisional mortality data.
settingUS and 16 other high income countries in 2010-18 and 2020, by sex, including an analysis of US outcomes by race and ethnicity. POPULATION: Data for the US and for 16 other high income countries from the National Center for Health Statistics and the Human Mortality Database, respectively.
main outcome measuresLife expectancy at birth, and at ages 25 and 65, by sex, and, in the US only, by race and ethnicity. Analysis excluded 2019 because life table data were not available for many peer countries. Life expectancy in 2020 was estimated by simulating life tables from estimated age specific mortality rates in 2020 and allowing for 10% random error. Estimates for 2020 are reported as medians with fifth and 95th centiles.
resultsBetween 2010 and 2018, the gap in life expectancy between the US and the peer country average increased from 1.88 years (78.66
conclusionsThe US had a much larger decrease in life expectancy between 2018 and 2020 than other high income nations, with pronounced losses among the Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black populations. A longstanding and widening US health disadvantage, high death rates in 2020, and continued inequitable effects on racial and ethnic minority groups are likely the products of longstanding policy choices and systemic racism.
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