Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34161356›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2021

Association between environmental and climatic risk factors and the spatial distribution of cystic and alveolar echinococcosis in Kyrgyzstan.

Giulia Paternoster, Gianluca Boo, Roman Flury, Kursanbek M Raimkulov, Gulnara Minbaeva, Jumagul Usubalieva, Maksym Bondarenko, Beat Müllhaupt, Peter Deplazes, Reinhard Furrer and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Multiscale ecological drivers ofFood and waterborne parasitology · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Giulia PaternosterSection of Epidemiology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-4612-1452
Gianluca BooWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-4078-8221
Roman FluryDepartment of Mathematics, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-0349-8698
Kursanbek M RaimkulovDepartment of Medical Biology, Genetics and Parasitology, Kyrgyz State Medical Academy named after I.K. Akhunbaev, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan.
Gulnara MinbaevaGovernment Sanito-Epidemiology Unit, Ministry of Health of the Kyrgyz Republic, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan.
Jumagul UsubalievaGovernment Sanito-Epidemiology Unit, Ministry of Health of the Kyrgyz Republic, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan.
Maksym BondarenkoWorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4958-6551
Beat MüllhauptClinics of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, University Hospital of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-9020-8192
Peter DeplazesInstitute of Parasitology, University of Zurich, Vetsuisse Faculty, Zurich, Switzerland.
Reinhard FurrerDepartment of Mathematics, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-6319-2332
Paul R TorgersonSection of Epidemiology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-4277-9983
University of Zurich · CHUniversity of Southampton · GBKyrgyz State Medical Academy · KGUniversity Hospital of Zurich · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCystic and alveolar echinococcosis (CE and AE) are neglected tropical diseases caused by Echinococcus granulosus sensu lato and E. multilocularis, and are emerging zoonoses in Kyrgyzstan. In this country, the spatial distribution of CE and AE surgical incidence in 2014-2016 showed marked heterogeneity across communities, suggesting the presence of ecological determinants underlying CE and AE distributions. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL

findingsFor this reason, in this study we assessed potential associations between community-level confirmed primary CE (no.=2359) or AE (no.=546) cases in 2014-2016 in Kyrgyzstan and environmental and climatic variables derived from satellite-remote sensing datasets using conditional autoregressive models. We also mapped CE and AE relative risk. The number of AE cases was negatively associated with 10-year lag mean annual temperature. Although this time lag should not be considered as an exact measurement but with associated uncertainty, it is consistent with the estimated 10-15-year latency following AE infection. No associations were detected for CE. We also identified several communities at risk for CE or AE where no disease cases were reported in the study period. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Our findings support the hypothesis that CE is linked to an anthropogenic cycle and is less affected by environmental risk factors compared to AE, which is believed to result from spillover from a wild life cycle. As CE was not affected by factors we investigated, hence control should not have a geographical focus. In contrast, AE risk areas identified in this study without reported AE cases should be targeted for active disease surveillance in humans. This active surveillance would confirm or exclude AE transmission which might not be reported with the present passive surveillance system. These areas should also be targeted for ecological investigations in the animal hosts.

Indexed as

ClimateAnimalsEchinococcosisEchinococcus granulosusEchinococcus multilocularisEnvironmentHumansIncidenceKyrgyzstanRisk FactorsSpatial AnalysisZoonoses

Identifiers

PMID34161356
PMCPMC8259979
OpenAlexW3175565445

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.