ArticleNature human behaviour2021
Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of COVID-19 in 2021.
Article in Nature human behaviour, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 55 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
55 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Data-driven strategies for model-informed decision-making during the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review.BMJ open · 2026Pooled it
- Predictive models for health outcomes due to SARS-CoV-2, including the effect of vaccination: a systematic review.Systematic reviews · 2024Pooled it
- Systematic Determinants of Global COVID-19 Burden: Longitudinal Time-Series Analysis Using Big Data-Driven Artificial Intelligence.Journal of medical Internet research · 2025Article
- Motivational effectiveness of prosocial public health messaging to reduce respiratory infection risk: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Communications medicine · 2025Article
- Social, mobility and contact networks in shaping health behaviours and infectious disease dynamics: a scoping review.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2025Article
- Knowledge, attitudes and barriers to uptake of COVID-19 vaccine in Uganda, February 2021.BMJ global health · 2025Article
- Changes in children respiratory infections pre and post COVID-19 pandemic.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2025Article
- Assessing the impact of interventions on the major Omicron BA.2 outbreak in spring 2022 in Shanghai.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024Article
- Revisiting the complex time-varying effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 transmission in the United States.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Behavioral Changes Associated With COVID-19 Vaccination: Cross-National Online Survey.Journal of medical Internet research · 2023Article
- Inferring China's excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic using online mourning and funeral search volume.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Differential practice and associated factors of COVID-19 personal preventive measures among the slum and estate communities of Uganda: A community-based cross-sectional survey.Journal of global health · 2023Article
- Evaluating the impact of test-trace-isolate for COVID-19 management and alternative strategies.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- Estimating SARS-CoV-2 infections and associated changes in COVID-19 severity and fatality.Influenza and other respiratory viruses · 2023Article
- Lessons drawn from Shanghai for controlling highly transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variants: insights from a modelling study.BMC infectious diseases · 2023Article
- Observational
- Impacts of social distancing policy and vaccination during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Republic of Korea.Journal of economic dynamics & control · 2023Article
- Do psychological distress and digital sports influence the willingness to take the vaccine and precautionary saving? Empirical evidence from Shanghai.Zeitschrift fur Gesundheitswissenschaften = Journal of public health · 2023Article
- Priority age targets for COVID-19 vaccination in Ethiopia under limited vaccine supply.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Treating SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant infection by molnupiravir for pandemic mitigation and living with the virus: a mathematical modeling study.Scientific reports · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
- Update of
Authors and funding
18 authors.
Funding
Abstract
COVID-19 vaccination is being conducted in over 200 countries and regions to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission and return to a pre-pandemic lifestyle. However, understanding when non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) can be lifted as immunity builds up remains a key question for policy makers. To address this, we built a data-driven model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission for China. We estimated that, to prevent the escalation of local outbreaks to widespread epidemics, stringent NPIs need to remain in place at least one year after the start of vaccination. Should NPIs alone be capable of keeping the reproduction number (R
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.