Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34158482›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Preference uncertainty accounts for developmental effects on susceptibility to peer influence in adolescence.

Andrea M F Reiter, Michael Moutoussis, Lucy Vanes, Rogier Kievit, Edward T Bullmore, Ian M Goodyer, Peter Fonagy, Peter B Jones, NSPN Consortium, Raymond J Dolan

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.6field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 57 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Determinants of Rule-Breaking in Adolescence.Journal of adolescence · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Teacher knows best? The social influence of teachers and peers in high school.Journal of research on adolescence : the official journal of the Society for Research on Adolescence · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. The social transmission of empathy relies on observational reinforcement learning.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Social influence in adolescence as a double-edged sword.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Andrea M F ReiterMax Planck UCL Centre for Computational Psychiatry and Ageing Research, University College London, London, UK. a.reiter@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-5209-3996
Michael MoutoussisMax Planck UCL Centre for Computational Psychiatry and Ageing Research, University College London, London, UK.
Lucy VanesMax Planck UCL Centre for Computational Psychiatry and Ageing Research, University College London, London, UK.
Rogier KievitMax Planck UCL Centre for Computational Psychiatry and Ageing Research, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0700-4568
Edward T BullmoreDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge Clinical School, Cambridge, UK.
Ian M GoodyerDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge Clinical School, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9183-0373
Peter FonagyDepartment of Clinical, Educational and Health Psychology, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0229-0091
Peter B JonesDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge Clinical School, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0387-880X
NSPN Consortium
Raymond J DolanMax Planck UCL Centre for Computational Psychiatry and Ageing Research, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9356-761X
University of Cambridge · GBWellcome Centre for Human Neuroimaging · GBMRC Cognition and Brain Sciences Unit · GBUniversity College London · GB

Funding

Department of Health NF-SI-0514-10157Medical Research Council MC_G0802534Medical Research Council MC_UP_1401/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_00005/9Medical Research Council SUAG/014 RG91365Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 095844/7/11/ZWellcome Trust 098362/Z/12/ZWellcome Trust 107392/Z/15/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Adolescents are prone to social influence from peers, with implications for development, both adaptive and maladaptive. Here, using a computer-based paradigm, we replicate a cross-sectional effect of more susceptibility to peer influence in a large dataset of adolescents 14 to 24 years old. Crucially, we extend this finding by adopting a longitudinal perspective, showing that a within-person susceptibility to social influence decreases over a 1.5 year follow-up time period. Exploiting this longitudinal design, we show that susceptibility to social influences at baseline predicts an improvement in peer relations over the follow-up period. Using a Bayesian computational model, we demonstrate that in younger adolescents a greater tendency to adopt others' preferences arises out of a higher uncertainty about their own preferences in the paradigmatic case of delay discounting (a phenomenon called 'preference uncertainty'). This preference uncertainty decreases over time and, in turn, leads to a reduced susceptibility of one's own behaviour to an influence from others. Neuro-developmentally, we show that a measure of myelination within medial prefrontal cortex, estimated at baseline, predicts a developmental decrease in preference uncertainty at follow-up. Thus, using computational and neural evidence, we reveal adaptive mechanisms underpinning susceptibility to social influence during adolescence.

Indexed as

Peer InfluenceSocial BehaviorUncertaintyAdolescentAdolescent BehaviorAdolescent DevelopmentCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMalePeer GroupPrefrontal CortexPsychomotor PerformanceYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID34158482
PMCPMC8219700
OpenAlexW3170081242

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.