ArticlePediatric surgery international2021
Development of a risk score for choledocholithiasis in pediatric patients.
Article in Pediatric surgery international, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.
- Risk scores for choledocholithiasis perform poorly in patients with hemolytic diseases: a PEDI database report.Frontiers in pediatrics · 2025Article
- A New Risk Score to Predict Intensive Care Unit Admission for Patients with Acute Pancreatitis 48 Hours After Admission: Multicenter Study.Digestive diseases and sciences · 2023Article
- Echo-Endoscopy Combined with Virtual Reality: A Whole Perspective of Laparoscopic Common Bile Duct Exploration in Children.Children (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Magnetic resonance imaging following the demonstration of a normal common bile duct on ultrasound in children with suspected choledocholithiasis: what is the benefit?Pediatric radiology · 2023Article
- The Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy and Common Bile Duct Exploration: A Single-Step Treatment of Pediatric Cholelithiasis and Choledocholithiasis.Children (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
purposeThe prevalence of gallstones in children has increased over the last years. Choledocholithiasis (CD) is present in up to 30% of the cases. There is a scarcity of studies on the management of choledocholithiasis in children. The aim of this study was to develop a score that would allow predicting accurately the risk of CD in children with gallstones and reduce the number of non-therapeutic ERCP. MATERIALS AND
methodsWe conducted a retrospective study in children with gallstones and suspected CD seen between January 2010 and December 2019. The main outcome was the presence of CD confirmed by at least one of the following diagnostic tests: magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP), endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), and/or intraoperative cholangiography (IOC). We developed a risk score based on the presence or absence of the following risk factors: acute biliary pancreatitis, ascending cholangitis, elevated liver function tests (AST, ALT, total bilirubin [TB, ≥ 2 mg/dl], conjugated bilirubin, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, and alkaline phosphatase), CD on ultrasound (US; this was considered predictive but not confirmatory of CD), and dilation of the common bile duct (> 6 mm) by US. The score was divided into three different categories: low risk (no risk factors), intermediate risk (one risk factor present), high risk (≥ 2 risk factors present or ascending cholangitis). Given the main goal of reducing the number of diagnostic ERCPs, a very-high-risk subgroup (3 risk factors present or ascending cholangitis) was identified.
resultsWe reviewed 133 patients with gallstones and suspected CD. In 56 (42.1%) patients, the presence of CD was confirmed by one or more of the definitive diagnostic tests (MRCP, ERCP, and IOC). The following variables were found to be the strongest predictors of CD: ascending cholangitis, TB ≥ 2 mg/dl, common bile duct > 6 mm, and the presence of CD by US. The positive predictive value for CD was 7.5% in the low-risk group (OR 0.06, P = < 0.001); 22.9% in the intermediate-risk group (OR 0.31, P = 0.007); 77.6% in the high-risk group (OR 20.14, P = < 0.001); and 95.7% in very-high-risk subgroup (OR 49.18, P = < 0.001).
conclusionThe risk score proposed in this study predicts accurately the presence of CD in children with gallstones. It can serve as a helpful tool to triage the need for costly and complex studies in the workup of CD, particularly in centers with limited resources. Finally, due to its high specificity and positive predictive value (PPV), the use of the very-high-risk criteria would allow for an important decrease in the number of non-therapeutic ERCP.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.