Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34145166›Full record

SynthesisAmerican journal of therapeutics2021

Ivermectin for Prevention and Treatment of COVID-19 Infection: A Systematic Review, Meta-analysis, and Trial Sequential Analysis to Inform Clinical Guidelines.

Andrew Bryant, Theresa A Lawrie, Therese Dowswell, Edmund J Fordham, Scott Mitchell, Sarah R Hill, Tony C Tham

RetractedOpen access · hybridAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in American journal of therapeutics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It has been retracted, and should not be counted. Cited by 125 papers, 17 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
125citing papers in PubMed, 17 pooled it
16.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

125 citing papers in PubMed, 17 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 261 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Discontinuation of Antihypertensive Drug Use Compared to Continuation in COVID-19 Patients: A Systematic Review with Meta-analysis and Trial Sequential Analysis.High blood pressure & cardiovascular prevention : the official journal of the Italian Society of Hypertension · 2023
    Pooled it
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  7. Inhaled corticosteroids' effect on COVID-19 patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.Canadian journal of respiratory therapy : CJRT = Revue canadienne de la therapie respiratoire : RCTR · 2023
    Pooled it
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  9. Ivermectin for preventing and treating COVID-19.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2022
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  12. Ivermectin for the Treatment of Coronavirus Disease 2019: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022
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  16. Ivermectin for preventing and treating COVID-19.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2021
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  20. The effect of ivermectin on the viral load and culture viability in early treatment of nonhospitalized patients with mild COVID-19 - a double-blind, randomized placebo-controlled trial.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022
    Trial

65 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Andrew BryantPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4351-8865
Theresa A LawrieEvidence-based Medicine Consultancy, Bath, United Kingdom.
Therese DowswellEvidence-based Medicine Consultancy, Bath, United Kingdom.
Edmund J FordhamEvidence-based Medicine Consultancy, Bath, United Kingdom.
Scott MitchellEmergency Department, Princess Elizabeth Hospital, Guernsey, United Kingdom; and.
Sarah R HillPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom.
Tony C ThamDivision of Gastroenterology, Ulster Hospital, Dundonald, Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom.
Element Six (United Kingdom) · GBNewcastle University · GBUlster Hospital · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRepurposed medicines may have a role against the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The antiparasitic ivermectin, with antiviral and anti-inflammatory properties, has now been tested in numerous clinical trials. AREAS OF UNCERTAINTY: We assessed the efficacy of ivermectin treatment in reducing mortality, in secondary outcomes, and in chemoprophylaxis, among people with, or at high risk of, COVID-19 infection. DATA SOURCES: We searched bibliographic databases up to April 25, 2021. Two review authors sifted for studies, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias. Meta-analyses were conducted and certainty of the evidence was assessed using the GRADE approach and additionally in trial sequential analyses for mortality. Twenty-four randomized controlled trials involving 3406 participants met review inclusion. THERAPEUTIC ADVANCES: Meta-analysis of 15 trials found that ivermectin reduced risk of death compared with no ivermectin (average risk ratio 0.38, 95% confidence interval 0.19-0.73; n = 2438; I2 = 49%; moderate-certainty evidence). This result was confirmed in a trial sequential analysis using the same DerSimonian-Laird method that underpinned the unadjusted analysis. This was also robust against a trial sequential analysis using the Biggerstaff-Tweedie method. Low-certainty evidence found that ivermectin prophylaxis reduced COVID-19 infection by an average 86% (95% confidence interval 79%-91%). Secondary outcomes provided less certain evidence. Low-certainty evidence suggested that there may be no benefit with ivermectin for "need for mechanical ventilation," whereas effect estimates for "improvement" and "deterioration" clearly favored ivermectin use. Severe adverse events were rare among treatment trials and evidence of no difference was assessed as low certainty. Evidence on other secondary outcomes was very low certainty.

conclusionsModerate-certainty evidence finds that large reductions in COVID-19 deaths are possible using ivermectin. Using ivermectin early in the clinical course may reduce numbers progressing to severe disease. The apparent safety and low cost suggest that ivermectin is likely to have a significant impact on the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic globally.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 Drug TreatmentAntiviral AgentsHumansIvermectinSARS-CoV-2Treatment OutcomeAntiviral AgentsIvermectin

Identifiers

PMID34145166
PMCPMC8248252
OpenAlexW3168908540

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.