Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34143312›Full record

ArticleJournal of gastroenterology2021

A simple prediction score for in-hospital mortality in patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding.

Tamotsu Matsuhashi, Waku Hatta, Takuto Hikichi, Sho Fukuda, Tatsuya Mikami, Tetsuya Tatsuta, Jun Nakamura, Yasuhiko Abe, Yusuke Onozato, Yohei Ogata and 16 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of gastroenterology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Development of a prediction score for Barrett's esophagus in Japanese health checkup settings.Esophagus : official journal of the Japan Esophageal Society · 2024
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  11. Risk factors for rebleeding in gastroduodenal ulcers.Irish journal of medical science · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors at 12 institutions in 1 country.

Tamotsu Matsuhashi *Department of Gastroenterology, Akita University Graduate School of Medicine, Akita, Japan.
Waku Hatta *Division of Gastroenterology, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-1 Seiryo-machi, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Miyagi, 980-8574, Japan. waku-style@festa.ocn.ne.jp.ORCID 0000-0001-9717-0281
Takuto HikichiDepartment of Endoscopy, Fukushima Medical University Hospital, Fukushima, Japan.
Sho FukudaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Akita University Graduate School of Medicine, Akita, Japan.
Tatsuya MikamiDivision of Endoscopy, Hirosaki University Hospital, Hirosaki, Japan.
Tetsuya TatsutaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hematology, Hirosaki University Graduate School of Medicine, Hirosaki, Japan.
Jun NakamuraDepartment of Endoscopy, Fukushima Medical University Hospital, Fukushima, Japan.
Yasuhiko AbeDivision of Endoscopy, Yamagata University Hospital, Yamagata, Japan.
Yusuke OnozatoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Yamagata University Hospital, Yamagata, Japan.
Yohei OgataDivision of Gastroenterology, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-1 Seiryo-machi, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Miyagi, 980-8574, Japan.
Atsushi MasamuneDivision of Gastroenterology, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-1 Seiryo-machi, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Miyagi, 980-8574, Japan.
Motoki OhyauchiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Osaki Citizen Hospital, Osaki, Japan.
Hirotaka ItoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Osaki Citizen Hospital, Osaki, Japan.
Norihiro HanabataDepartment of Gastroenterology, Aomori Prefectural Central Hospital, Aomori, Japan.
Yasumitsu ArakiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Aomori Prefectural Central Hospital, Aomori, Japan.
Takumi YanagitaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Ohta Nishinouchi Hospital, Kooriyama, Japan.
Hidemichi ImamuraDepartment of Gastroenterology, Ohta Nishinouchi Hospital, Kooriyama, Japan.
Tsuyotoshi TsujiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Akita City Hospital, Akita, Japan.
Kae SugawaraDepartment of Gastroenterology, Akita City Hospital, Akita, Japan.
Yohei HorikawaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hiraka General Hospital, Yokote, Japan.
Shuichi OharaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Tohoku Rosai Hospital, Sendai, Japan.
Yutaka KondoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Tohoku Rosai Hospital, Sendai, Japan.
Takahiro DohmenDepartment of Gastroenterology, Yuri Kumiai General Hospital, Yurihonjou, Japan.
Yoichi KakutaDivision of Gastroenterology, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, 1-1 Seiryo-machi, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Miyagi, 980-8574, Japan.
Tomohiro NakamuraDepartment of Health Record Informatics, Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.
Katsunori IijimaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Akita University Graduate School of Medicine, Akita, Japan.
Tohoku University · JPAkita University · JPAkita University Hospital · JPAomori Prefectural Central Hospital · JPFukushima Medical University Hospital · JPOhta Nishinouchi Hospital · JPOsaki Citizen Hospital · JPTohoku Rosai Hospital · JPYamagata University Hospital · JPHiraka General Hospital · JPHirosaki University · JPHirosaki University Hospital · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNo prediction scores for the mortality of both inpatients and outpatients who developed nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) without endoscopic findings have been established. We aimed to derive and validate a novel prediction score for in-hospital mortality.

methodsWe conducted a three-stage, multicenter retrospective study. In the derivation stage, patients with nonvariceal UGIB at six institutions were enrolled to derive the prediction score by logistic regression analysis. External validation of the score was performed to analyze discrimination by patients at six other institutions. Then the performance of this score was compared with that of four existing scores.

resultsWe enrolled 1380 and 825 patients in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. A prediction score (CHAMPS-R Score) comprising seven variables (Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥ 2, in-hospital onset, albumin < 2.5 g/dL, altered mental status, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≥ 2, steroids, and rebleeding) with equal-weight scores was established, with high discriminative ability in both derivation and validation cohorts (c statistic, 0.91 and 0.80, respectively). When rebeeding was excluded from the score (an onset model; CHAMPS Score), this score also achieved high discriminative ability (c statistic, 0.90 and 0.81, respectively). The prediction scores had significantly higher discriminative ability than the Glasgow Blatchford Score, AIMS65, ABC Score, and clinical Rockall Score in both cohorts (all, p < 0.05).

conclusionsWe derived and externally validated prediction scores for in-hospital mortality in patients with nonvariceal UGIB. The CHAMPS Score might be optimal for managing such patients. Its mobile application is freely available ( https://apps.apple.com/app/id1565716902 for iOS and https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=hatta.CHAMPS for Android).

Indexed as

AgedCohort StudiesFemaleGastrointestinal HemorrhageHemorrhageHospital MortalityHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentROC CurveSeverity of Illness IndexUpper Gastrointestinal TractCHAMPS ScoreIn-hospital mortalityNonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleedingPrediction score

Identifiers

PMID34143312
OpenAlexW3168491410

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.