ArticlePloS one2021
Decreased wheat production in the USA from climate change driven by yield losses rather than crop abandonment.
Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- Biochemical and yield response of spring wheat to drought stress through gibberellic and abscisic acids.BMC plant biology · 2025Article
- The contribution of beneficial wheat seed fungal communities beyond disease-causing fungi: Advancing heritable mycobiome-based plant breeding.Environmental microbiology reports · 2024Review
- Identifying the physiological traits associated with DNA marker using genome wide association in wheat under heat stress.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- An unprecedented fall drought drives Dust Bowl-like losses associated with La Niña events in US wheat production.Science advances · 2024Article
- Effects of Genotype and Climate on Productive Performance of High OleicPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Morpho-Physiological and Hormonal Response of Winter Wheat Varieties to Drought Stress at Stem Elongation and Anthesis Stages.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Low-temperature at booting reduces starch content and yield of wheat by affecting dry matter transportation and starch synthesis.Frontiers in plant science · 2023Article
- Wheat Panache: A pangenome graph database representing presence-absence variation across sixteen bread wheat genomes.The plant genome · 2022Article
- Impact of Climate Change on Phenology of Two Heat-Resistant Wheat Varieties and Future Adaptations.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Tritordeum as an Innovative Alternative to Wheat: A Comparative Digestion Study on Bread.Molecules (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Deciphering the Crosstalk Mechanisms of Wheat-Stem Rust Pathosystem: Genome-Scale Prediction Unravels Novel Host Targets.Frontiers in plant science · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
An increase in global average surface temperature over the 21st century will affect food production. There is still uncertainty if the source of the production losses caused by climate change could be driven either by lower yield or reduced area harvested. We use county-level production data on winter wheat coupled with fine-scale weather outcomes between 1981-2007 to examine the impact of climate change on winter wheat production in Kansas. We decompose the total impact of weather variables through both the yield and harvested acreage channels. We find that an insignificant portion-both in terms of magnitude and statistical significance-of the production losses are due to reduced harvested acres (i.e., crop abandonment). The proportion harvested only account for 14.88% and 21.71% of the total damages under RCPs 4.5 and 8.5 and neither effect is statistically significant. An implication of this result implies that studies that only examine climate impacts on harvested yields are not significantly underestimating the climate change impacts on production.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.