Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34134940›Full record

ArticleAcademic radiology2021

Predicting Prolonged Hospitalization and Supplemental Oxygenation in Patients with COVID-19 Infection from Ambulatory Chest Radiographs using Deep Learning.

Ayis Pyrros, Adam Eugene Flanders, Jorge Mario Rodríguez-Fernández, Andrew Chen, Patrick Cole, Daniel Wenzke, Eric Hart, Samuel Harford, Jeanne Horowitz, Paul Nikolaidis and 8 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Academic radiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.

Ayis PyrrosDuPage Medical Group, Radiology. Electronic address: ayis@ayis.org.
Adam Eugene FlandersThomas Jefferson University Hospital, Radiology.
Jorge Mario Rodríguez-FernándezUniversity of Illinois at Chicago, Department of Neurology.
Andrew ChenUniversity of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Computer Science.
Patrick ColeUniversity of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Computer Science.
Daniel WenzkeNorthShore University HealthSystem Research Institute, Department of Radiology.
Eric HartNorthwestern Memorial Hospital, Northwestern University, Radiology.
Samuel HarfordUniversity of Illinois at Chicago, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering.
Jeanne HorowitzNorthwestern Memorial Hospital, Northwestern University, Radiology.
Paul NikolaidisNorthwestern Memorial Hospital, Northwestern University, Radiology.
Nadir MuzaffarDuPage Medical Group, Radiology.
Viveka BoddipalliDuPage Medical Group, Radiology.
Jai NebhrajaniUniversity of Illinois at Chicago, Department of Medicine.
Nasir SiddiquiDuPage Medical Group, Radiology.
Melinda WillisDuPage Medical Group, Radiology.
Houshang DarabiUniversity of Illinois at Chicago, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering.
Oluwasanmi KoyejoUniversity of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Computer Science.
William GalanterUniversity of Illinois at Chicago, Department of Medicine.
University of Illinois Chicago · USDuPage Medical Group · USNorthwestern Memorial Hospital · USUniversity of Illinois Urbana-Champaign · USAyub Medical College · PKNorthShore University HealthSystem · USThomas Jefferson University Hospital · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

RATIONALE AND

objectivesThe clinical prognosis of outpatients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains difficult to predict, with outcomes including asymptomatic, hospitalization, intubation, and death. Here we determined the prognostic value of an outpatient chest radiograph, together with an ensemble of deep learning algorithms predicting comorbidities and airspace disease to identify patients at a higher risk of hospitalization from COVID-19 infection. MATERIALS AND

methodsThis retrospective study included outpatients with COVID-19 confirmed by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction testing who received an ambulatory chest radiography between March 17, 2020 and October 24, 2020. In this study, full admission was defined as hospitalization within 14 days of the COVID-19 test for > 2 days with supplemental oxygen. Univariate analysis and machine learning algorithms were used to evaluate the relationship between the deep learning model predictions and hospitalization for > 2 days.

resultsThe study included 413 patients, 222 men (54%), with a median age of 51 years (interquartile range, 39-62 years). Fifty-one patients (12.3%) required full admission. A boosted decision tree model produced the best prediction. Variables included patient age, frontal chest radiograph predictions of morbid obesity, congestive heart failure and cardiac arrhythmias, and radiographic opacity, with an internally validated area under the curve (AUC) of 0.837 (95% CI: 0.791-0.883) on a test cohort.

conclusionDeep learning analysis of single frontal chest radiographs was used to generate combined comorbidity and pneumonia scores that predict the need for supplemental oxygen and hospitalization for > 2 days in patients with COVID-19 infection with an AUC of 0.837 (95% confidence interval: 0.791-0.883). Comorbidity scoring may prove useful in other clinical scenarios.

Indexed as

COVID-19Deep LearningAdultFemaleHospitalizationHumansMaleMiddle AgedOxygenRadiography, ThoracicRetrospective StudiesOxygenchest radiographyconvolutional neural networksCOVID-19deep learningmulti-task learning

Identifiers

PMID34134940
PMCPMC8139280
OpenAlexW3164698949

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.