Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34131161›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2021

A machine learning approach for predicting suicidal thoughts and behaviours among college students.

Melissa Macalli, Marie Navarro, Massimiliano Orri, Marie Tournier, Rodolphe Thiébaut, Sylvana M Côté, Christophe Tzourio

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Melissa Macalli *Inserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, UMR 1219, University of Bordeaux, 146 rue Léo Saignat, 33076, Bordeaux Cedex, Bordeaux, France. melissa.macalli@u-bordeaux.fr.
Marie Navarro *Inserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, UMR 1219, University of Bordeaux, 146 rue Léo Saignat, 33076, Bordeaux Cedex, Bordeaux, France.
Massimiliano OrriInserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, UMR 1219, University of Bordeaux, 146 rue Léo Saignat, 33076, Bordeaux Cedex, Bordeaux, France.
Marie TournierInserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, UMR 1219, University of Bordeaux, 146 rue Léo Saignat, 33076, Bordeaux Cedex, Bordeaux, France.
Rodolphe ThiébautInserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, UMR 1219, University of Bordeaux, 146 rue Léo Saignat, 33076, Bordeaux Cedex, Bordeaux, France.
Sylvana M CôtéInserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, UMR 1219, University of Bordeaux, 146 rue Léo Saignat, 33076, Bordeaux Cedex, Bordeaux, France.
Christophe TzourioInserm, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, UMR 1219, University of Bordeaux, 146 rue Léo Saignat, 33076, Bordeaux Cedex, Bordeaux, France. christophe.tzourio@u-bordeaux.fr.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Suicidal thoughts and behaviours are prevalent among college students. Yet little is known about screening tools to identify students at higher risk. We aimed to develop a risk algorithm to identify the main predictors of suicidal thoughts and behaviours among college students within one-year of baseline assessment. We used data collected in 2013-2019 from the French i-Share cohort, a longitudinal population-based study including 5066 volunteer students. To predict suicidal thoughts and behaviours at follow-up, we used random forests models with 70 potential predictors measured at baseline, including sociodemographic and familial characteristics, mental health and substance use. Model performance was measured using the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), sensitivity, and positive predictive value. At follow-up, 17.4% of girls and 16.8% of boys reported suicidal thoughts and behaviours. The models achieved good predictive performance: AUC, 0.8; sensitivity, 79% for girls, 81% for boys; and positive predictive value, 40% for girls and 36% for boys. Among the 70 potential predictors, four showed the highest predictive power: 12-month suicidal thoughts, trait anxiety, depression symptoms, and self-esteem. We identified a parsimonious set of mental health indicators that accurately predicted one-year suicidal thoughts and behaviours in a community sample of college students.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAdolescentCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleStudentsSuicideYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID34131161
PMCPMC8206419

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.