Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34130113›Full record

ArticleMedical hypotheses2021

Early multidrug treatment of SARS-CoV-2 infection (COVID-19) and reduced mortality among nursing home (or outpatient/ambulatory) residents.

Paul E Alexander, Robin Armstrong, George Fareed, John Lotus, Ramin Oskoui, Chad Prodromos, Harvey A Risch, Howard C Tenenbaum, Craig M Wax, Parvez Dara and 2 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Medical hypotheses, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.

Paul E AlexanderMcMaster University and GUIDE Research Methods Group, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. Electronic address: peteramccullough@gmail.com.
Robin ArmstrongThe Resort at Texas City Nursing Home, Texas City, TX, USA.
George FareedPioneers Health Center, Brawley, CA, USA.
John LotusThe Foundation for Orthopaedics and Regenerative Medicine (FOReM), Chicago, IL, USA. Electronic address: jlotus21@uchicago.edu.
Ramin OskouiCEO, Foxhall Cardiology, PC, Washington, DC, USA.
Chad ProdromosThe Foundation for Orthopaedics and Regenerative Medicine (FOReM), Chicago, IL, USA.
Harvey A RischYale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA. Electronic address: harvey.risch@yale.edu.
Howard C TenenbaumCentre for Advanced Dental Research and Care, Mount Sinai Hospital, and Faculties of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada. Electronic address: howard.tenenbaum@sinaihealth.ca.
Craig M WaxFamily Physician, Independent Physicians for Patient Independence, AAPS Board of Directors, NJ, USA. Electronic address: physician1@comcast.net.
Parvez DaraConsultant, Medical Hematologist and Oncologist, USA.
Peter A McCulloughBaylor University Medical Center, Baylor Heart and Vascular Institute, Baylor Jack and Jane Hamilton Heart and Vascular Hospital, Dallas, TX, USA. Electronic address: peteramccullough@gmail.com.
Kulvinder K GillConcerned Ontario Doctors, Toronto, ON, Canada. Electronic address: kkgill.md@gmail.com.
Baylor Jack and Jane Hamilton Heart and Vascular Hospital · USClinicas de Salud del Pueblo · USDowntown Women's Health Care · USMcMaster University · CAMount Sinai Hospital · CAPublic Health Ontario · CAYale University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The outbreak of COVID-19 from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has spread all over the world with tremendous morbidity and mortality in the elderly. In-hospital treatment addresses the multifaceted nature of the illness including initial viral replication, cytokine storm, and endothelial injury with thrombosis. We identified nine reports of early treatment outcomes in COVID-19 nursing home patients. Multi-drug therapy including hydroxychloroquine with one or more anti-infectives, corticosteroids, and antithrombotic anti-blood clotting agents can be extended to seniors in the nursing home setting without hospitalization. Data from nine studies found hydroxychloroquine-based multidrug regimens were associated with a statistically significant > 60% reduction in mortality. Going forward, we conclude that early empiric treatment for the elderly with COVID-19 in the nursing home setting (or similar congregated settings with elderly residents/patients e.g. LTF or ALF) has a reasonable probability of success and acceptable safety. This group remains our highest at-risk group and warrants acute treatment focus prior to symptoms worsening. Given the rapidity and severity of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks in nursing homes, in-center treatment of acute COVID-19 patients is a reasonable strategy to reduce the risks of hospitalization and death. If elderly high-risk patients in such congregated nursing home type settings are allowed to worsen with no early treatment, they may be too sick and fragile to benefit from in-hospital therapeutics and are at risk for pulmonary failure, life-ending micro-thrombi of the lungs, kidneys etc. The issue is timing of therapeutics, and we argue that early treatment before hospitalization, is the right time and can potentially save lives, especially among our higher-risk elderly populations hit hardest by severe illness and death from COVID-19. We must reiterate, we are talking about 'early' treatment before the disease is far along in the disease sequelae where the patient then needs hospitalization and aggressive interventions. We are referring to the initial days e.g. day one, post infection when symptoms emerge or there is strong clinical suspicion. This early therapeutic option deserves serious and urgent consideration by the medical establishment and respective decision-makers. Doctors must be allowed their clinical discretion in how they optimally treat their patients. Doctors must be brave and trust their skilled judgements and do all to save the lives of their patients. We therefore hypothesize that early outpatient ambulatory treatment, once initiated as soon as symptoms begin in high-risk positive persons, would significantly reduce hospitalizations and prevent deaths. Specifically, the provision of early multi-drug sequenced therapy with repurposed drugs will reduce hospitalization and death in elderly patients being cared for in long-term-care facilities. The most important implications of our hypothesis are: 1) hospitalizations and deaths would be reduced 2) transmission would be reduced due to the mitigation of symptoms and 3) recovery following infection and treatment provides for natural exposure immunity that is broad based, durable, and robust (helping towards natural immunity within the population). The end result is reduced strain on hospitals and systems that would allow for other non-COVID illnesses to receive care.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2AgedHumansHydroxychloroquineNursing HomesOutpatientsHydroxychloroquineAmbulatory treatmentAnticoagulantAnti-infectiveAnti-inflammatoryAntiplatelet agentAntiviralCorticosteroidCOVID-19ElderlyHospitalizationMortalityNursing homeSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34130113
PMCPMC8178530
OpenAlexW3169466472

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.