Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34129153›Full record

Trial reportAnnals of surgical oncology2021

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Adjuvant Therapy for BRAF-Mutant Resected Stage III Melanoma in Medicare Patients.

Saam A Mojtahed, Nicole R Boyer, Saieesh A Rao, Thomas F Gajewski, Jennifer Tseng, Kiran K Turaga

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Trial report in Annals of surgical oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 32% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A systematic review of microsimulation models for skin cancer.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Saam A MojtahedPritzker School of Medicine, Division of Biological Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Nicole R BoyerCenter for Health and the Social Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Saieesh A RaoPritzker School of Medicine, Division of Biological Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Thomas F GajewskiDepartment of Pathology, Division of Biological Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Jennifer TsengDepartment of Surgery, Division of Biological Sciences, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Kiran K TuragaDepartment of Surgery, Division of Biological Sciences, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA. kturaga@surgery.bsd.uchicago.edu.
University of Chicago · US

Funding

Pritzker School of Medicine 5600University of Chicago Department of Surgery 1300
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAdjuvant therapy for stage III melanoma improves several measures of patient survival. However, decisions regarding inclusion of adjuvant therapies in the formularies of public payers necessarily consider the cost-effectiveness of those treatments. The objective of this study is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of four recently approved adjuvant therapies for BRAF-mutant stage III melanoma in the Medicare patient population.

methodsIn this cost-effectiveness analysis, a Markov microsimulation model was used to simulate the healthcare trajectory of patients randomized to receive either first-line targeted therapy (dabrafenib-trametinib) or immunotherapy (ipilimumab, nivolumab, or pembrolizumab). The base case was a 65-year-old Medicare patient with BRAF V600E-mutant resected stage III melanoma. Possible health states included recurrence-free survival, adverse events, local recurrence, distant metastases, and death. Transition probabilities were determined from published clinical trials. Costs were estimated from reimbursement rates reported by CMS and the Red Book drug price database. Primary outcomes were costs (US$), life years, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Model robustness was evaluated using one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

resultsDabrafenib-trametinib provided 1.83 QALYs over no treatment and 0.23 QALYs over the most effective immunotherapy, pembrolizumab. Dabrafenib-trametinib was associated with an ICER of $95,758/QALY over no treatment and $285,863/QALY over pembrolizumab. Pembrolizumab yielded an ICER of $68,396/QALY over no treatment and dominated other immunotherapies.

conclusionsPembrolizumab is cost-effective at a conventional willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold, but dabrafenib-trametinib is not. Though dabrafenib-trametinib offers incremental QALYs, optimization of drug pricing is necessary to ensure dabrafenib-trametinib is accessible at an acceptable WTP threshold.

Indexed as

MelanomaSkin NeoplasmsAgedAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansMedicareProto-Oncogene Proteins B-rafQuality-Adjusted Life YearsUnited StatesBRAF protein, humanProto-Oncogene Proteins B-raf

Identifiers

PMID34129153
OpenAlexW3170014716

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.