Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34118335›Full record

ArticleJournal of hepatology2021

Prognostic performance of 7 biomarkers compared to liver biopsy in early alcohol-related liver disease.

Ditlev Nytoft Rasmussen, Maja Thiele, Stine Johansen, Maria Kjærgaard, Katrine Prier Lindvig, Mads Israelsen, Steen Antonsen, Sönke Detlefsen, Aleksander Krag, GALAXY and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of hepatology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 57 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
57citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
16.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

57 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 134 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Guideline
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  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. The dynamic spectrum of steatotic liver disease: the global perspective.Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2026
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Test, FIB-4 and FibroScan: Real-World Prognostic Accuracy for MASLD in a Biopsy-Controlled Cohort.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Observational
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Prognostication of Liver Disease Patients via the WFUMB 'Rule-of-4' Algorithm Using SSI-2D-SWE-Based Liver Stiffness Measurement.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Article
  12. Noninvasive Tests for Predicting Decompensation in Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease: A Comprehensive Review.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Review
  13. Review
  14. Fibrosis activityJHEP reports : innovation in hepatology · 2026
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Non-invasive tests for MetALD and alcohol-related liver disease.JHEP reports : innovation in hepatology · 2025
    Review
  19. Diagnosis of Portal Hypertension.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Ditlev Nytoft RasmussenDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Denmark; Department of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
Maja ThieleDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Denmark; Department of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark. Electronic address: maja.thiele@rsyd.dk.
Stine JohansenDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Denmark; Department of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
Maria KjærgaardDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Denmark.
Katrine Prier LindvigDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Denmark; Department of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
Mads IsraelsenDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Denmark.
Steen AntonsenDepartment of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark; Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Odense University Hospital Svendborg, Denmark.
Sönke DetlefsenDepartment of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark; Department of Pathology, Odense University Hospital, Denmark.
Aleksander KragDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Denmark; Department of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
GALAXY
MicrobLiver consortia
Odense University Hospital · DKUniversity of Southern Denmark · DK

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsAlcohol is the most common cause of liver-related mortality and morbidity. We therefore aimed to assess and compare the prognostic performance of elastography and blood-based markers to predict time to the first liver-related event, severe infection, and all-cause mortality in patients with a history of excess drinking.

methodsWe performed a prospective cohort study in patients with early, compensated alcohol-related liver disease. At baseline, we obtained a liver biopsy, transient elastography (TE), 2-dimensional shear-wave elastography (2D-SWE), enhanced liver fibrosis test (ELF), FibroTest, fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), non-alcoholic fatty liver fibrosis score (NFS) and Forns index. We compared C-statistics and time-dependent AUC for prognostication. We used validated cut-off points to create 3 risk groups for each test: low, intermediate and high risk.

resultsWe followed 462 patients for a median of 49 months (IQR 31-70). Median age was 57 years, 76% were males, 20% had advanced fibrosis. Eighty-four patients (18%) developed a liver-related event after a median of 18 months (7-34). TE had the highest prognostic accuracy, with a C-statistic of 0.876, and time-dependent AUC at 5 years of 0.889, comparable to 2D-SWE and ELF. TE, ELF and 2D-SWE outperformed FibroTest, FIB4, NFS, Forns index and biopsy-verified fibrosis stage. Compared to patients with TE <10 kPa, the hazard ratios for liver-related events for TE 10-15 kPa were 8.1 (3.2-20.4), and 27.9 (13.8-56.8) for TE >15 kPa. Periods of excessive drinking during follow-up increased the risk of progressing to liver-related events, except for patients in the low-risk groups.

conclusionTE, ELF and 2D-SWE are highly accurate prognostic markers in patients with alcohol-related liver disease. Easy-to-use cut-offs can distinguish between substantially different risk profiles. LAY SUMMARY: Alcohol is the leading cause of death and illness due to liver disease. In this study, we assessed the ability of biomarkers to predict the risk of developing symptomatic liver disease in patients with early stages of alcohol-related liver disease. We found that several tests accurately predicted the risk of liver-related events such as ascites, esophageal varices and hepatic encephalopathy during an average follow-up of 4.1 years. Liver stiffness measurements by ultrasound elastography and the enhanced liver fibrosis test performed best. By using them, we were able to stratify patients into 3 groups with significantly different risks.

Indexed as

Predictive Value of TestsAgedAlcohol DrinkingBiomarkersBiopsyCohort StudiesDenmarkElasticity Imaging TechniquesFemaleHumansLiverLiver DiseasesMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesBiomarkersAlcoholic liver diseaseDecompensationLiver stiffnessMortalityPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID34118335
PMCPMC8522804
OpenAlexW3169467891

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.