Can the human development level in middle-income regions meet the challenges of natural capital change from the perspective of decoupling? Evidence from Shaanxi Province.

Human activities in middle-income regions (MIRs) accelerate the appropriation of natural capital (NC) through production and living activities. The environmental changes caused by these activities in turn have an impact on human development and challenge the human adaptability of MIRs. Therefore, it is very important to realize the decoupling of NC and human development. This study takes China's Shaanxi Province as a case and establishes a research framework that decouples the human development index (HDI) from the perspective of NC stock and flow. Shaanxi is evaluated based on an analysis of the changing HDI and measuring changes in NC indicators from 2005 to 2018. The state of decoupling between the HDI and NC utilization levels is also discussed. The results show that the average annual growth of the HDI and per capita ecological footprint is 1.54% and 3.22%, respectively. The rate of consumption of the NC stock is greater than the rate of NC flow consumption. The HDI and the three-dimensional ecological footprint have not achieved real decoupling, and the changes in the two are the same as those in the left half of the inverted U-shaped environmental Kuznets curve. However, the inflection point has not been reached. This shows that the NC and HDI in Shaanxi have not achieved decoupling, and rapid NC changes hinder the ability to improve human well-being. This discovery helps MIRs focus on the role of restoration ecosystems in supporting regional human development and respond to the challenge of insufficient human adaptability due to excessive consumption of NC.