Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34117253›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Experimental warming differentially affects vegetative and reproductive phenology of tundra plants.

Courtney G Collins, Sarah C Elmendorf, Robert D Hollister, Greg H R Henry, Karin Clark, Anne D Bjorkman, Isla H Myers-Smith, Janet S Prevéy, Isabel W Ashton, Jakob J Assmann and 27 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  7. The ecology of Lyme disease: Long-term data, surprises, and a synthesis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

37 authors.

Courtney G CollinsInstitute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA. Courtney.collins@colorado.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5455-172X
Sarah C ElmendorfInstitute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
Robert D HollisterDepartment of Biology, Grand Valley State University, Allendale, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4764-7691
Greg H R HenryDepartment of Geography, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Karin ClarkDepartment of Environment and Natural Resources, Government of the Northwest Territories, Yellowknife, NT, Canada.
Anne D BjorkmanDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2174-7800
Isla H Myers-SmithSchool of GeoSciences, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8417-6112
Janet S PrevéyU.S. Geological Survey, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
Isabel W AshtonNational Park Service, Inventory & Monitoring Division, Rapid City, SD, USA.
Jakob J AssmannDepartment of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3492-8419
Juha M AlataloEnvironmental Science Center, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5084-850X
Michele CarbognaniDepartment of Chemistry, Life Sciences and Environmental Sustainability, University of Parma, Parma, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7701-9859
Chelsea ChisholmDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7739-0508
Elisabeth J CooperDepartment of Arctic and Marine Biology, The Arctic University of Norway UiT, Tromsø, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0634-1282
Chiara ForresterInstitute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
Ingibjörg Svala JónsdóttirDepartment of Life- and Environmental Sciences, University of Iceland, Reykjavík, Iceland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3804-7077
Kari KlanderudDepartment of Ecology and Natural Resource Management, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1049-7025
Christopher W KoppBiodiversity Research Center, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Carolyn LivenspergerNational Park Service, Capitol Reef National Park, Torrey, UT, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6938-7571
Marguerite MauritzDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, TX, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8733-9119
Jeremy L MayDepartment of Biological Sciences, Florida International University, Miami, FL, USA.
Ulf MolauDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Steven F OberbauerDepartment of Biological Sciences, Florida International University, Miami, FL, USA.
Emily OgburnInstitute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
Zoe A PanchenDepartment of Geography, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Alessandro PetragliaDepartment of Chemistry, Life Sciences and Environmental Sustainability, University of Parma, Parma, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4632-2251
Eric PostDepartment of Wildlife, Fish, & Conservation Biology, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9471-5351
Christian RixenSwiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Davos, Switzerland.
Heidi RodenhizerCenter for Ecosystem Science and Society, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5824-3302
Edward A G SchuurCenter for Ecosystem Science and Society, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1096-2436
Philipp SemenchukDepartment of Botany and Biodiversity Research, The University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1949-6427
Jane G SmithInstitute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
Heidi SteltzerDepartment of Environment and Sustainability, Fort Lewis College, Durango, CO, USA.
Ørjan TotlandDepartment of Biological Sciences, The University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway.
Marilyn D WalkerHOMER Energy by UL, Boulder, CO, USA.
Jeffrey M WelkerDepartment of Biological Sciences, The University of Alaska Anchorage, Anchorage, AK, USA.
Katharine N SudingInstitute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5357-0176

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Rapid climate warming is altering Arctic and alpine tundra ecosystem structure and function, including shifts in plant phenology. While the advancement of green up and flowering are well-documented, it remains unclear whether all phenophases, particularly those later in the season, will shift in unison or respond divergently to warming. Here, we present the largest synthesis to our knowledge of experimental warming effects on tundra plant phenology from the International Tundra Experiment. We examine the effect of warming on a suite of season-wide plant phenophases. Results challenge the expectation that all phenophases will advance in unison to warming. Instead, we find that experimental warming caused: (1) larger phenological shifts in reproductive versus vegetative phenophases and (2) advanced reproductive phenophases and green up but delayed leaf senescence which translated to a lengthening of the growing season by approximately 3%. Patterns were consistent across sites, plant species and over time. The advancement of reproductive seasons and lengthening of growing seasons may have significant consequences for trophic interactions and ecosystem function across the tundra.

Indexed as

Plant Physiological PhenomenaPlantsTundraArctic RegionsClimateEcosystemFlowersModels, BiologicalPhenotypeReproductionSeasonsSpatio-Temporal AnalysisTemperature

Identifiers

PMID34117253
PMCPMC8196023

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.